Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 24.85K | $0.929 | $23.74K | +$645.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | sell | 5.51 | $0.890 | $4.9 | 1h ago |
|
| No |
| 8.58K |
| $0.959 |
| $8.27K |
| +$49.21 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.69K | $0.866 | $6.25K | +$462.86 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 6.08K | $0.909 | $5.73K | +$202.73 |
 Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.55K | $0.981 | $4.51K | +$46.92 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 4.8K | $0.893 | $4.36K | +$75.5 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 4.5K | $0.879 | $4.18K | +$225.27 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 4K | $0.994 | $3.98K | +$6 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 2.39K | $0.954 | $2.3K | +$22.5 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 2.35K | $0.877 | $2.11K | +$41.83 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 1.81K | $0.901 | $1.68K | +$49.24 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 1.61K | $0.878 | $1.5K | +$87.47 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.21K | $0.916 | $1.11K | +$4.43 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.700 | $744.42 | +$35.45 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | No | 833.32 | $0.855 | $720.82 | +$8.5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 711.96 | $0.887 | $644.32 | +$12.56 |
 US recession by end of 2027? | No | 925.69 | $0.710 | $634.1 | -$22.97 |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | No | 518.66 | $0.952 | $506.47 | +$12.87 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | No | 400 | $0.953 | $379.8 | -$1.4 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 413.76 | $0.865 | $367.22 | +$9.22 |
 Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | Yes | 350 | $0.893 | $334.77 | +$22.27 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 5.22K | $0.078 | $297.57 | -$111.33 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | No | 300 | $0.905 | $289.65 | +$18.15 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in August? | No | 273.67 | $0.980 | $268.61 | +$0.41 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.080 | $75 | -$5 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.110 |
| $22 |
| 1h ago |
 Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.008 | $0.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in August?No | buy | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | 2d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7 | $0.960 | $6.72 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?No | sell | 450 | $0.899 | $404.55 | 4d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4K | $0.994 | $3.98K | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?No | buy | 400 | $0.898 | $359.2 | 5d ago |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 653 | $0.989 | $645.82 | 5d ago |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 919.92 | $0.009 | $8.13 | 5d ago |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.009 | $9.75 | 5d ago |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 539.91 | $0.915 | $494.02 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 211 | $0.960 | $202.55 | 5d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.690 | $138 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 307 | $0.961 | $295.03 | 5d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 951.52 | $0.249 | $237.16 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.700 | $733.1 | 5d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 113.76 | $0.879 | $100 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 537.49 | $0.670 | $360.12 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 38.62 | $0.800 | $30.9 | 5d ago |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 79 | $0.759 | $59.96 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 49 | $0.759 | $37.19 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 11.73K | $0.993 | $11.64K | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?No | sell | 1.77K | $0.912 | $1.61K | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 23.4 | $0.754 | $17.64 | 6d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 537.48 | $0.650 | $349.36 | 6d ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in August?No | buy | 273.67 | $0.980 | $268.2 | 6d ago |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 785.02 | $0.007 | $5.51 | 7d ago |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.001 | $1.7 | 8d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.710 | $568 | 8d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 106.76 | $0.095 | $10.09 | 8d ago |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 35.3 | $0.010 | $0.34 | 9d ago |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.01K | $0.005 | $18.55 | 9d ago |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.314 | $345.31 | 10d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.991 | $0.18 | 10d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.999 | $0.11 | 10d ago |
| Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 125.88 | $0.058 | $7.3 | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.8K | $0.470 | $1.79K | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.8K | $0.520 | $1.98K | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.041 | $51.22 | 12d ago |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 400 | $0.890 | $356 | 12d ago |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 115.72 | $0.022 | $2.56 | 12d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 665 | $0.174 | $115.9 | 12d ago |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.007 | $0.48 | 13d ago |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.002 | $0.14 | 13d ago |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.019 | $1.34 | 13d ago |
| Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 178 | $0.061 | $10.84 | 13d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.05K | $0.986 | $2.02K | 13d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 4.5K | $0.870 | $3.92K | 13d ago |