Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31? | No | 2.48K | $0.859 | $2.46K | +$327.36 |
AI bubble burst in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 167.17 | $0.997 | $166.6 | 15d ago |
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| No |
| 2.42K |
| $0.713 |
| $2.15K |
| +$425.44 |
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | No | 860.61 | $0.831 | $796.07 | +$80.97 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31? | No | 715.77 | $0.772 | $700.74 | +$147.91 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31? | No | 506.79 | $0.890 | $493.61 | +$42.57 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31? | No | 196.15 | $0.512 | $183.4 | +$82.86 |
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026? | No | 100.09 | $0.808 | $76.07 | -$4.83 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 72.55 | $0.820 | $67.83 | +$8.34 |
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.860 | $49.15 | +$6.15 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | No | 47.63 | $0.810 | $44.54 | +$5.95 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 699.99 | $0.300 | $38.5 | -$171.5 |
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31? | No | 33.33 | $0.880 | $32.27 | +$2.93 |
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | No | 31.18 | $0.883 | $30.51 | +$2.98 |
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | No | 19 | $0.830 | $17.58 | +$1.81 |
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 210.06 | $0.135 | $16.38 | -$11.97 |
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.910 | $16.1 | -$2.1 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 32 | $0.550 | $4.96 | -$12.64 |
Celonis IPO before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.370 | $2.75 | -$15.75 |
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 43.68 | $0.369 | $2.4 | -$13.72 |
Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? | Yes | 10.95 | $0.050 | $1.37 | +$0.82 |
| sell |
| 32.83 |
| $0.998 |
| $32.76 |
| 15d ago |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 72.55 | $0.820 | $59.49 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Daniel Nokovich finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 59.47 | $0.974 | $57.94 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?No | buy | 568.55 | $0.789 | $448.54 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Procter & Gamble say "Insolvency" during earnings call?No | buy | 307.78 | $0.919 | $282.94 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Procter & Gamble say "Portfolio" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 61.53 | $0.980 | $60.3 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Procter & Gamble say "Category" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 303.36 | $0.985 | $298.74 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Procter & Gamble say "Collusion" during earnings call?No | buy | 43.77 | $0.950 | $41.58 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Procter & Gamble say "Profit" 10+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 56.7 | $0.958 | $54.32 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Procter & Gamble say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 139.99 | $0.960 | $134.39 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will American Express say "Expense" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 155.28 | $0.988 | $153.41 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will American Express say "Commercial" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 437.5 | $0.835 | $365.13 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will American Express say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 345.89 | $0.990 | $342.38 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Verizon say "America" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.570 | $23.37 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Verizon say "Churn" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 22.21 | $0.990 | $21.99 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Verizon say "Leverage" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.790 | $32.39 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Verizon say "Fiber" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 224.2 | $0.984 | $220.63 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Verizon say "Growth" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.990 | $123.75 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Verizon say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.990 | $103.95 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Intel say "Foundry" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.990 | $113.85 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Intel say "CPU" or "Central Processing Unit" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 40.79 | $0.980 | $39.97 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Intel say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 93.38 | $0.979 | $91.46 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250 by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by July 31?Yes | buy | 685.02 | $0.599 | $410.32 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $145B by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will General Motors say "GMC" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 405.65 | $0.650 | $263.73 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will General Motors say "Revenue" 10+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 45 | $0.356 | $16 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 362.31 | $0.959 | $347.39 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.418 | $586.52 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | sell | 224 | $0.966 | $216.28 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 199.98 | $0.880 | $175.98 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $14B by July 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 152.01 | $0.370 | $56.29 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?No | buy | 506.79 | $0.890 | $451.04 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31?No | buy | 2.48K | $0.859 | $2.13K | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?No | buy | 715.77 | $0.772 | $552.83 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?No | buy | 196.15 | $0.513 | $100.55 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?Yes | buy | 491.71 | $0.942 | $463.31 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the announcers say "Zlatan" or "Ibrahimovic" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 97.34 | $0.718 | $69.88 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?No | buy | 378 | $0.536 | $202.77 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?No | buy | 441.03 | $0.228 | $100.41 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Netflix say "Content" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 89.76 | $0.998 | $89.58 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will United Airlines say "Internet" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.550 | $17.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 196.55 | $0.585 | $115 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 1.52K | $0.082 | $124.73 | Jul 15, 2026 |