Latest trade
Aug 28, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 12:08 PM UTC.
Analytics
Lunar Kestrel C95F is down $77 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 36 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 28, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 12:08 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 44 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Apr 7, 2026 UTC to Aug 28, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 14.02 | $0.927 | $13.69 | +$0.69 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 10:39 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 12:08 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 12:08 UTC
polymarket positions
38 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-10 04:04 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $52.33 and losing ones cost $44.01 across 36 settled positions. 61.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.98 on “World Championships: Norway vs. Sweden” (Norway); the largest loss, $10.34 on “Will Artemis II launch by April 30?” (No).
It first traded on 21 Mar 2026 and most recently on 28 Aug 2026. It has traded 52 markets. Its open positions are worth $27.62 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.840 |
| $9.56 |
| +$1.16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.200 | $4.38 | -$0.63 |
| buy |
| 7.42 |
| $0.674 |
| $5 |
| Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNothing | buy | 32.26 | $0.930 | $30 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 10 | $0.632 | $6.32 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.14 | $0.412 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 7.72 | $0.647 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Uruguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 21.67 | $0.231 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 World Championships: Switzerland vs. FinlandFinland | buy | 9.9 | $0.505 | $5 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Switzerland vs. NorwaySwitzerland | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Canada vs. FinlandCanada | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Finland vs. CzechiaCzechia | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing | buy | 26.44 | $0.756 | $20 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Switzerland vs. FinlandFinland | sell | 10.19 | $0.480 | $4.89 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Hungary vs. LatviaLatvia | buy | 20 | $0.904 | $18.08 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Switzerland vs. FinlandFinland | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: USA vs. HungaryHungary | buy | 40 | $0.026 | $1.03 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Slovakia vs. CanadaCanada | buy | 12 | $0.880 | $10.56 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Norway vs. SwedenNorway | buy | 4.46 | $0.100 | $0.45 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Finland vs. AustriaFinland | buy | 29.1 | $0.962 | $28 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Norway vs. SwedenNorway | buy | 4.41 | $0.100 | $0.44 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Norway vs. SwedenNorway | buy | 1.11 | $0.100 | $0.11 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Finland vs. Great BritainFinland | buy | 20 | $0.983 | $19.66 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.016 | $1.28 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: USA vs. GermanyGermany | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| World Championships: Latvia vs. FinlandFinland | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 23.3 | $0.424 | $9.87 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 14.02 | $0.927 | $13 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.037 | $11.1 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.352 | $7.04 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
 Sidemen Charity Match 2026: WinnerYoutube Allstars | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.044 | $0.44 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.787 | $6.3 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.016 | $2.74 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.378 | $7.56 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 91.88 | $0.619 | $56.86 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026Yes | buy | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.