Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 94 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 8.5% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Jun 2026. $9.27M traded over the market's life.
666 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 5.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Used-Wholesale | Yes | 506.25K |
| josef09 | Yes | 209.08K |
| Loud-Link | Yes | 206.39K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-out-as-president-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 178.58K |
| Volku | Yes | 152.02K |
| KaiGreenesGrapefruit | Yes | 104.24K |
| liz9603.... | Yes | 61.5K |
| fine2026 | Yes | 53.09K |
| polymarketbetter | Yes | 48.03K |
| IrishCharlie | Yes | 46.26K |
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