Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 2.9% on 27 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2026 to 1 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 2.9% on 27 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2026. $16.32M traded over the market's life.
651 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 1:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 27 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2026 | 2.9% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DontCountChangeOverAGrid | Yes | 483.24K |
| Indigo Raven 1267 | Yes | 175.65K |
| Mysterious-Eyelashes | Yes | 170.79K |
| UnevenElephant | Yes | 161.85K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-out-as-president-by-april-30
| Emerald Ledger A5F9 | Yes | 146.2K |
| Same-Webinar | Yes | 133.33K |
| Hospitable-Coal | Yes | 127.12K |
| gigakool | Yes | 114.57K |
| Menacing-Ping | Yes | 104.28K |
| antonske | Yes | 86.08K |
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