Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 65.8%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34.3% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 5 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 22% on 27 Mar 2026. $616.4K traded over the market's life.
164 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 12, 6:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 27.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 34.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler.Durden13 | Yes | 11.84K |
| Dadu123 | Yes | 3.11K |
| LukeDelta | Yes | 2K |
| Smoggy-Roster | Yes | 1.73K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Rules:
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-vance-visit-the-middle-east-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Important-Exhaustion | Yes | 1.65K |
| Deadly-Marker | Yes | 1.24K |
| HappyFett | Yes | 1K |
| jackyeung92 | Yes | 895.06 |
| gilligilli | Yes | 864.27 |
| hexmoon | Yes | 578.08 |
