Analytics
Resolved England on 18 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had England at 33.5%. Yes opened at 63.5% on 17 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2026 to 18 Jul 2026, the highest close was 66.5% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 63.5% on 17 Jul 2026. $21.9M traded over the market's life.
592 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 11:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 18 Jul 2026, chart shows 60%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 63.5% |
| 18 Jul 2026 | 66.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AV23IUa | France | 610K |
| DK888 | France | 441.28K |
| tttny | France | 250K |
| shijiebeifacai | France | 242.52K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup third-place play-off between France and England, scheduled for July 18 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France officially wins the match and finishes third in the FIFA World Cup. This market will resolve to "England" if England officially wins the match and finishes third in the FIFA World Cup. This includes a win after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a winner is officially declared. If the game is canceled entirely and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-fra-eng-2026-07-18-more-markets
| Jokerxing7 | France | 237.78K |
| thegreatjeff | France | 206.17K |
| xxrsx | France | 183.17K |
| Prelode | France | 121.17K |
| Daring-Guinea | France | 100K |
| bahahahaha | France | 79.49K |
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