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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 33K | $0.507 | $25.06K | +$8.32K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 51.7 | $0.900 | $46.53 | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 30.22K |
| $0.330 |
| $16.17K |
| +$6.2K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 30.22K | $0.303 | $13.45K | +$4.28K |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 33K | $0.500 | $7.94K | -$8.56K |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 3.34K | $0.921 | $3.12K | +$47.96 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 2K | $0.943 | $1.91K | +$25 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 771.62 | $0.966 | $758.89 | +$13.34 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 201.01 | $0.775 | $184.42 | +$28.61 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 151.7 | $0.900 | $141.84 | +$5.31 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 55.05 | $0.929 | $52.93 | +$1.77 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 201.01 | $0.189 | $13.07 | -$24.9 |
| buy |
| 12K |
| $0.460 |
| $5.52K |
| 6d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.005 | $25 | 7d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 5.41 | $0.972 | $5.26 | 7d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 105.03 | $0.060 | $6.3 | 8d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.026 | $78.29 | 9d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 202.46 | $0.450 | $91.11 | 11d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.050 | $150 | 12d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.080 | $80 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.310 | $453.27 | 13d ago |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 1.46K | $0.330 | $482.51 | 13d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.120 | $360 | 13d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.959 | $479.49 | 13d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 53.21 | $0.920 | $48.95 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 3K | $0.930 | $2.79K | 15d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 308.61 | $0.939 | $289.91 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 133.99 | $0.955 | $127.9 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.85K | $0.003 | $20.54 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.005 | $2.5 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.007 | $8.61 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.003 | $3.46 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 336.71 | $0.960 | $323.24 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 163.29 | $0.952 | $155.51 | 15d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 413.8 | $0.180 | $74.48 | 16d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 58.62 | $0.739 | $43.32 | 17d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.750 | $38.25 | 17d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 2K | $0.765 | $1.53K | 17d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.130 | $130 | 18d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 150.97 | $0.944 | $142.52 | 18d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 49.03 | $0.945 | $46.33 | 18d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.76K | $0.002 | $7.52 | 18d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.76K | $0.003 | $11.28 | 18d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.76K | $0.988 | $3.71K | 18d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.76K | $0.680 | $2.56K | 18d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.76K | $0.320 | $1.2K | 18d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.46K | $0.300 | $438.65 | 18d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.290 | $424.03 | 18d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.799 | $17.58 | 19d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.84 | $0.788 | $140.87 | 19d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No | buy | 216.51 | $0.930 | $201.35 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.050 | $150 | 20d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.140 | $140 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.880 | $440 | 22d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.920 | $460 | 22d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 173.01 | $0.950 | $164.44 | 23d ago |