Analytics
Yes is at 3%, down 31 points from 34.5% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
Across the 322 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34.5% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 2.4% on 26 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4%; a month before, 2.5%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 22% on 14 Nov 2025.
$26.93 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $252.56K since listing. The order book holds $13.82K, with a 1.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $5.42K bought Yes and $23.71K bought No; the largest was a $3.9K buy of No at 97.4¢.
The largest Yes position is junypchome with 9.7K shares; the largest No position is TheReturnOfDarthMaul with 20.7K. Ten wallets hold 56.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 5:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 322 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 34.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 3.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | No | 20.74K |
| junypchome | Yes | 9.7K |
| allenzzz | No | 6.36K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-emergency-rate-cut-before-2027
| puravida |
| No |
| 5.11K |
| LZ.01 | Yes | 5K |
| 0xMilly | Yes | 4.94K |
| User14657 | No | 3.92K |
| Rectangular-Audit | Yes | 3.91K |
| Quiet Horizon F251 | No | 3.86K |
| Conscious-Impact | Yes | 3.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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