Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 9.67K | $0.713 | $6.72K | -$172.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 511.78 | $0.520 | $266.13 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 10.18K |
| $0.705 |
| $5.75K |
| -$1.43K |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 5.18K | $0.785 | $4.85K | +$786.71 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 5.22K | $0.685 | $4.83K | +$1.25K |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 3.75K | $0.877 | $3.62K | +$323.83 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.11K | $0.595 | $2.9K | -$734.79 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 3.35K | $0.697 | $2.5K | +$160.68 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 6K | $0.499 | $2.25K | -$746.13 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 1.9K | $0.774 | $1.85K | +$383.44 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.98K | $0.677 | $1.34K | -$3.92 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.54K | $0.716 | $1.33K | +$228.85 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.780 | $1.3K | +$127.5 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.27K | $0.338 | $1.17K | +$402.22 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 2.31K | $0.476 | $1.07K | -$25 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 1.64K | $0.480 | $1.07K | +$286.04 |
 Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? | No | 1.02K | $0.542 | $987.96 | +$437.81 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.758 | $953.28 | +$195.02 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? | No | 968.98 | $0.943 | $937.49 | +$23.67 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 993.46 | $0.374 | $918.95 | +$547.65 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.780 | $918.74 | +$99.75 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.05K | $0.296 | $729.72 | -$764 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.5K | $0.480 | $712.5 | -$7.5 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? | No | 603.88 | $0.954 | $588.48 | +$12.58 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 21K | $0.039 | $556.51 | -$266.45 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.19K | $0.500 | $552.19 | -$41.56 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.026 |
| $0.53 |
| 5h ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | 1d ago |
 Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.080 | $88.89 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 66.14 | $0.470 | $31.09 | 1d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 259.99 | $0.042 | $11 | 1d ago |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.915 | $54.9 | 1d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.120 | $16.8 | 1d ago |
 Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 119.99 | $0.170 | $20.4 | 1d ago |
 Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 385 | $0.240 | $92.4 | 1d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.13K | $0.034 | $106.44 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 342 | $0.035 | $11.97 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 25.3 | $0.040 | $1.01 | 1d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.27K | $0.916 | $2.08K | 1d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 513.02 | $0.917 | $470.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.500 | $531.81 | 3d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 169.15 | $0.530 | $89.65 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 839.45 | $0.400 | $335.78 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?No | buy | 205 | $0.920 | $188.6 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?No | buy | 55.34 | $0.846 | $46.82 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?No | buy | 315 | $0.914 | $287.91 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.91K | $0.690 | $1.32K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.63 | $0.410 | $3.13 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 201.23 | $0.590 | $118.73 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.519 | $2.4 | 5d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 250.85 | $0.200 | $50.17 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.166 | $33.23 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.49K | $0.570 | $1.42K | 6d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | 6d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 35 | $0.570 | $19.95 | 6d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 231.48 | $0.570 | $131.94 | 6d ago |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | sell | 31.97 | $0.190 | $6.07 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | buy | 58.26 | $0.340 | $19.81 | 6d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 3.73K | $0.650 | $2.42K | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.8 | $0.500 | $1.9 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?No | sell | 13.03 | $0.121 | $1.57 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | buy | 25 | $0.330 | $8.25 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.167 | $5.57 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.78 | $0.860 | $9.27 | 6d ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | sell | 192.54 | $0.192 | $36.93 | 6d ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | sell | 8.75 | $0.200 | $1.75 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | buy | 23.35 | $0.320 | $7.47 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.770 | $3.94 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.004 | $0.06 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.410 | $718.66 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Flash model release by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 159.82 | $0.050 | $7.99 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on or prior to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.11 | $0.001 | $0.11 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Flash model release by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 8d ago |