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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 4.94K | $0.205 | $294.11 | -$719 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.88K | $0.110 | $977.08 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 13.42K |
| $0.013 |
| $174.4 |
| Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.42K | $0.014 | $187.82 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Yes | sell | 358.02 | $0.064 | $22.95 | May 9, 2026 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | sell | 123.37 | $0.200 | $24.67 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.34K | $0.025 | $210.36 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 17K | $0.006 | $102 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.004 | $0 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.001 | $0 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 289.52K | $0.001 | $289.52 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 96.86K | $0.004 | $387.44 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200K | $0.005 | $1K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 95.21 | $0.080 | $7.62 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.24K | $0.080 | $499.34 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.180 | $240 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.78K | $0.180 | $500 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 14.27K | $0.001 | $18.96 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | sell | 8.93K | $0.002 | $13.45 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | sell | 3.4K | $0.002 | $5.88 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | sell | 8.68K | $0.016 | $138.85 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.016 | $16 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 46.88K | $0.020 | $937.51 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 49.47K | $0.017 | $852.45 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.06K | $0.021 | $211.18 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 169.95 | $0.018 | $3.05 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 102.2 | $0.021 | $2.1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 876.71 | $0.023 | $20.13 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 83.84 | $0.020 | $1.65 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 290.83 | $0.053 | $15.41 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 406.05 | $0.054 | $21.91 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 231.97 | $0.017 | $3.95 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.039 | $2.54 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 926.18 | $0.016 | $14.82 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 217.12 | $0.015 | $3.26 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 245.71 | $0.014 | $3.44 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.039 | $2.73 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 276.68 | $0.035 | $9.62 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 392.4 | $0.033 | $12.95 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.130 | $4.68 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 343.16 | $0.023 | $7.89 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 583.83 | $0.026 | $15.18 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 356.82 | $0.025 | $8.92 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 159.98 | $0.024 | $3.84 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 126.93 | $0.023 | $2.92 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 541 | $0.030 | $16.19 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.029 | $1.45 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.028 | $2.15 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 65.3 | $0.023 | $1.47 | Jan 6, 2026 |