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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2.53K | $0.797 | $1.99K | -$31.3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.690 | $1.38 | 6m ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.54K |
| $0.979 |
| $1.52K |
| +$11 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 1.94K | $0.836 | $1.52K | -$98.69 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.72K | $0.800 | $1.47K | +$94.47 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.31K | $0.940 | $1.22K | -$6.55 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 1.11K | $0.668 | $561.68 | -$181.2 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 714.21 | $0.720 | $554.23 | +$40 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.498 | $524.34 | -$37.42 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.961 | $384.2 | -$0.2 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 345.56 | $0.976 | $332.25 | -$5.15 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 295.41 | $0.940 | $281.82 | +$4.08 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 388.39 | $0.710 | $266.05 | -$9.71 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 282.36 | $0.857 | $258.79 | +$16.82 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 283.3 | $0.952 | $256.39 | -$13.35 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.890 | $250.5 | -$16.5 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 253.89 | $0.870 | $222.15 | +$1.27 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 435 | $0.519 | $219.68 | -$6.24 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 1.51K | $0.165 | $204.44 | -$44.89 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 264.89 | $0.532 | $181.45 | +$40.62 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? | Yes | 187.81 | $0.952 | $178.24 | -$0.53 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 345.19 | $0.692 | $174.32 | -$64.49 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | No | 166.47 | $0.969 | $161.39 | +$0.07 |
 Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | No | 169.83 | $0.765 | $153.7 | +$23.84 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 212.11 | $0.716 | $149.54 | -$2.38 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 151 | $0.880 | $126.09 | -$6.79 |
| sell |
| 5.55 |
| $0.070 |
| $0.39 |
| 12m ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.91% in September?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 16m ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.100 | $7.5 | 18m ago |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | 41m ago |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 2 | $0.710 | $1.42 | 44m ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 24 | $0.720 | $17.28 | 48m ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 2 | $0.710 | $1.42 | 50m ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 2 | $0.720 | $1.44 | 51m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 774.28 | $0.520 | $402.63 | 53m ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 2 | $0.710 | $1.42 | 53m ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 11, 2026?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.740 | $4.07 | 54m ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September?No | buy | 9 | $0.860 | $7.74 | 57m ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 28 | $0.510 | $14.28 | 1h ago |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 1h ago |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | 2h ago |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.930 | $3.72 | 2h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | sell | 0.53 | $0.060 | $0.03 | 2h ago |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.690 | $1.38 | 2h ago |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?No | buy | 19 | $0.930 | $17.67 | 3h ago |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.210 | $7.35 | 3h ago |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.210 | $7.35 | 3h ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 11, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.790 | $15.01 | 3h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?No | buy | 47 | $0.350 | $16.45 | 4h ago |
 US recession by end of 2027?No | buy | 12 | $0.720 | $8.64 | 4h ago |
 Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.910 | $12.74 | 4h ago |
 Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.660 | $3.96 | 5h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 114.99 | $0.140 | $16.1 | 5h ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?No | buy | 6 | $0.550 | $3.3 | 5h ago |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.870 | $6.96 | 5h ago |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.870 | $10.44 | 5h ago |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.160 | $4.64 | 5h ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?No | buy | 99 | $0.560 | $55.44 | 5h ago |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.05 | $0.629 | $8.84 | 6h ago |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 57.01 | $0.629 | $35.86 | 6h ago |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 49.27 | $0.629 | $30.99 | 6h ago |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 49.27 | $0.629 | $30.99 | 6h ago |
| Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 78.92 | $0.610 | $48.14 | 7h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | 7h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.660 | $708.32 | 7h ago |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?No | buy | 7 | $0.750 | $5.25 | 7h ago |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?No | buy | 3 | $0.750 | $2.25 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 297 | $0.670 | $198.99 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 594 | $0.670 | $397.98 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.660 | $681.78 | 7h ago |
 Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.470 | $1.88 | 8h ago |
 Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Yes | sell | 13.91 | $0.922 | $12.83 | 8h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | sell | 17.7 | $0.070 | $1.24 | 8h ago |