Analytics
The Bibi side is at 40%, about where the market opened on 10 Oct 2026.
Across the 14 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 69.5% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Bibi side was at 59%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 63% on 11 Oct 2026.
$17.7K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $40.31K since listing. The order book holds $47.01K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 278 trades, $6.46K bought Bibi and $13.11K bought Opp.; the largest was a $5K buy of Opp. at 59.9¢.
The largest Bibi position is Sticky-Closing with 17.5K shares; the largest Opp. position is Myway with 8.3K. Ten wallets hold 81% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:06 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Bibi price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 10 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Bibi price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 40.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 40.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sticky-Closing | Bibi | 17.5K |
| Myway | Opp. | 8.35K |
| nnimrodd | Opp. | 6.91K |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Bibi” (Netanyahu bloc) if Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. This market will resolve to “Opp.” (opposition bloc) if The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to the bloc whose named parties received the greater combined total of valid votes, counting only the votes of named parties that pass the electoral threshold. If the blocs remain tied, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-election-which-bloc-wins-more-seats
| anoin123 |
| Bibi |
| 3.01K |
| ydxistheking | Opp. | 2.39K |
| Scientific-Bandanna | Opp. | 1.04K |
| BiDiFakePolls | Opp. | 1K |
| Vespuccii | Opp. | 898.64 |
| futurebreeze | Bibi | 871.73 |
| Davidans | Bibi | 698.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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