Analytics
Immaterial-Advantage has made $5.18K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 15.01K | $0.933 | $14.54K | +$536.77 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$20 | $20 | 4 | 1 | 100.0% | $0 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 21:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 03:51 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 03:51 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 21:41 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $59.47K and losing ones cost $55.72K across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $14K on “US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $6.95K on “Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?” (Yes).
It has traded 1,101 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($20). Its open positions are worth $36.31K across 368 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 6.23K |
| $0.759 |
| $5.08K |
| +$350.96 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1.7K | $0.113 | $1.28K | +$1.09K |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.4K | $0.803 | $1.07K | -$53.3 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 879.12 | $0.910 | $835.16 | +$35.17 |
 Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | No | 805.73 | $0.931 | $790.42 | +$40.42 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 750 | $0.830 | $717.38 | +$94.64 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 864.28 | $0.784 | $633.09 | -$44.25 |
 Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 1K | $0.460 | $580 | +$120 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 512.88 | $0.929 | $483.39 | +$6.94 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.05K | $0.078 | $434.08 | +$40.38 |
 Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 2K | $0.180 | $420 | +$60 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.42K | $0.649 | $376.87 | -$546.63 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.120 | $375 | +$75 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 429.78 | $0.785 | $356.07 | +$18.74 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 375 | $0.902 | $339.94 | +$1.66 |
 Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.160 | $324 | +$132 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 729.63 | $0.300 | $284.56 | +$65.71 |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 810.81 | $0.370 | $275.68 | -$24.32 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 285.14 | $0.858 | $273.59 | +$28.97 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 268.95 | $0.766 | $243.4 | +$37.24 |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | Yes | 316.92 | $0.520 | $236.11 | +$71.31 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 238.37 | $0.530 | $232.77 | +$106.43 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.45K | $0.048 | $229.16 | +$15.19 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.14K | $0.215 | $222.16 | -$23.41 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
