Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 1.57K | $0.747 | $1.18K | +$12.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen ZhengIga Swiatek | buy | 240.24 | $0.416 | $100 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.33K |
| $0.490 |
| $1.13K |
| +$484.18 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 1.33K | $0.450 | $1.04K | +$445.92 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.662 | $936.45 | +$265.5 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 970.59 | $0.850 | $878.38 | +$53.38 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 909.09 | $0.880 | $822.73 | +$22.73 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 777.19 | $0.834 | $763.2 | +$114.96 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.1K | $0.638 | $729.95 | +$29.95 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 789.47 | $0.760 | $698.68 | +$98.68 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 621.54 | $0.861 | $553.17 | +$17.72 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 420 | $0.775 | $403.2 | +$77.7 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 551.47 | $0.680 | $402.57 | +$27.57 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 833.33 | $0.600 | $379.17 | -$120.83 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 270 | $0.790 | $238.95 | +$25.65 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | No | 288.46 | $0.520 | $200.48 | +$50.48 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 319.44 | $0.720 | $190.07 | -$39.93 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 802.4 | $0.793 | $124.37 | -$511.62 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 444.44 | $0.270 | $117.78 | -$2.22 |
 Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 830 | $0.130 | $99.6 | -$8.3 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 299.99 | $0.240 | $70.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 157.73 | $0.230 | $59.15 | +$22.87 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 599.99 | $0.111 | $53.1 | -$13.5 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | No | 52.85 | $0.810 | $45.71 | +$2.91 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? | No | 49.29 | $0.913 | $44.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 136 | $0.370 | $40.12 | -$10.2 |
| buy |
| 909.09 |
| $0.880 |
| $800 |
| 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 576.08 | $0.868 | $500 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.270 | $120 | 2d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?Yes | buy | 165.91 | $0.440 | $73 | 2d ago |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?No | buy | 49.29 | $0.913 | $45 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 232.88 | $0.730 | $170 | 2d ago |
| US Open WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Emma NavarroAnna Kalinskaya | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | 3d ago |
| US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Sorana CirsteaJessica Pegula | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | 3d ago |
| US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda NoskovaMarta Kostyuk | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | 3d ago |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor TownsendAryna Sabalenka | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 319.44 | $0.720 | $230 | 4d ago |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise MertensNaomi Osaka | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | 4d ago |
| US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Marie BouzkovaIga Swiatek | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | 4d ago |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola BartunkovaMirra Andreeva | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | 4d ago |
| US Open WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda AnisimovaAmanda Anisimova | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 288.46 | $0.520 | $150 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.750 | $1K | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.600 | $500 | 5d ago |
| US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna KalinskayaElina Svitolina | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | 5d ago |
| US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina MuchovaKarolina Muchova | buy | 63.02 | $0.793 | $50 | 5d ago |
| US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova | buy | 66.67 | $0.750 | $50 | 5d ago |
| US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah FernandezJessica Pegula | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | 5d ago |
| US Open WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana CirsteaSorana Cirstea | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | 5d ago |
| US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaMarta Kostyuk | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | 5d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 551.47 | $0.680 | $375 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.680 | $135.99 | 8d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 789.47 | $0.760 | $600 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.638 | $700 | 9d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaIga Swiatek | buy | 98.33 | $0.600 | $59 | 20d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica PegulaJessica Pegula | buy | 109.26 | $0.540 | $59 | 20d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 68.8 | $0.625 | $43 | 21d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara BejlekAryna Sabalenka | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | 21d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Madison Keys vs Xiyu WangMadison Keys | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | 21d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marie BouzkovaCoco Gauff | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | 21d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Amanda AnisimovaAmanda Anisimova | buy | 102.04 | $0.490 | $50 | 21d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Elena RybakinaElena Rybakina | buy | 69.44 | $0.720 | $50 | 21d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaMarta Kostyuk | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | 21d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Jessica PegulaJessica Pegula | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | 21d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 350 | $0.780 | $273 | 21d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.370 | $50.32 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 602.41 | $0.830 | $500 | 22d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 518.06 | $0.772 | $400 | 22d ago |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 230.78 | $0.867 | $200 | 22d ago |
 Will Linke win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 22d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 273.39 | $0.731 | $199.85 | 22d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 267.44 | $0.860 | $230 | 22d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 470.59 | $0.850 | $400 | 22d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 626.68 | $0.638 | $400 | 26d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 112.85 | $0.630 | $71.1 | 26d ago |