Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 313.42 | $0.702 | $287.87 | +$67.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 48.19 | $0.830 | $40 | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 461.54 |
| $0.650 |
| $242.31 |
| -$57.69 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 246.91 | $0.810 | $240.99 | +$40.99 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 235.29 | $0.850 | $210.59 | +$10.59 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 119.05 | $0.840 | $102.38 | +$2.38 |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | Yes | 96.15 | $0.520 | $68.27 | +$18.27 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.840 | $37.38 | -$2.62 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 167.34 | $0.598 | $3.1 | -$96.9 |
| sell |
| 40.78 |
| $0.999 |
| $40.74 |
| 7d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.3 | $0.897 | $20 | 8d ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 31 above $220?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.999 | $124.88 | 8d ago |
| Will Dell say "Nvidia" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 40.79 | $0.760 | $31 | 8d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | buy | 124.07 | $0.806 | $100 | 8d ago |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.850 | $200 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 246.91 | $0.810 | $200 | 13d ago |
 Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | 14d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | 22d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 145.56 | $0.687 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 145.56 | $0.687 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 113.63 | $0.999 | $113.52 | 23d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.840 | $40 | 24d ago |
 Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | 24d ago |
 Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | 24d ago |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.720 | $40 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | buy | 206.1 | $0.243 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 185.19 | $0.270 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | buy | 209.8 | $0.238 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 167.34 | $0.598 | $100 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 185.19 | $0.270 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 83.61 | $0.480 | $40.13 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | sell | 67.58 | $0.740 | $50.01 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 76.92 | $0.870 | $66.92 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 94.81 | $0.780 | $73.95 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 90.9 | $0.770 | $69.99 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 126.6 | $0.953 | $120.7 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 57.89 | $0.880 | $50.94 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 70.75 | $0.720 | $50.94 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 116.1 | $0.673 | $78.15 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.732 | $0.01 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.47 | $0.870 | $20.42 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 76.32 | $0.780 | $59.53 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 64.59 | $0.534 | $34.47 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Jul 6, 2026 |