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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 6K | $0.339 | $5.28K | +$3.25K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?No | sell | 232 | $0.060 | $13.92 | 10d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10K |
| $0.557 |
| $4.98K |
| -$593.46 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 6.02K | $0.380 | $4.84K | +$2.56K |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 4K | $0.610 | $3.82K | +$1.38K |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.66K | $0.540 | $3.37K | +$1.39K |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 15K | $0.195 | $2.93K | +$7.5 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5K | $0.490 | $2.23K | -$225 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.65K | $0.795 | $1.45K | +$132.22 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.73K | $0.620 | $944.81 | -$130.02 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 595 | $0.562 | $503.97 | +$169.69 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 3K | $0.120 | $404.99 | +$45 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 405 | $0.200 | $346.28 | +$265.28 |
 Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" in September? | No | 231 | $0.232 | $118.97 | +$65.34 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 657.41 | $0.150 | $105.19 | +$6.57 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 600 | $0.560 | $51 | -$285 |
 Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? | No | 14.66 | $0.977 | $14.08 | -$0.24 |
| buy |
| 5K |
| $0.490 |
| $2.45K |
| 11d ago |
| Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" in September?No | buy | 231 | $0.232 | $53.63 | 12d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.701 | $957.04 | 18d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.41K | $0.615 | $1.48K | 26d ago |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 158.52 | $0.299 | $47.44 | 26d ago |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 615 | $0.468 | $287.55 | 26d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 5.37K | $0.500 | $2.68K | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 12.22 | $0.490 | $5.99 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 17.33K | $0.207 | $3.59K | 29d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 10K | $0.557 | $5.57K | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.190 | $308.79 | 29d ago |
 Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.015 | $17.28 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 550.17 | $0.980 | $539.17 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.422 | $4.22 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.98K | $0.070 | $278.61 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 1.29K | $0.480 | $617.76 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 4.23K | $0.290 | $1.23K | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 300.62 | $0.580 | $174.36 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 405 | $0.200 | $81 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.62K | $0.539 | $873.56 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Fox News: My View appearance?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 118.97 | $0.397 | $47.23 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.795 | $1.31K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.620 | $1.07K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.07K | $0.795 | $1.64K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 125.17 | $0.795 | $99.51 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.650 | $975.17 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 7.79K | $0.283 | $2.21K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 880.23 | $0.259 | $227.98 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants | buy | 62.56 | $0.997 | $62.37 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 3.94K | $0.001 | $3.94 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 6.69K | $0.001 | $6.69 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?No | buy | 187.4 | $0.242 | $45.34 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?No | buy | 613.04 | $0.229 | $140.56 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?No | buy | 722.83 | $0.193 | $139.33 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?No | buy | 951.75 | $0.150 | $143.02 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?No | buy | 61.61 | $0.086 | $5.3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?No | buy | 244.67 | $0.087 | $21.31 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 469.31 | $0.690 | $323.82 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?No | buy | 114.32 | $0.780 | $89.17 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 160.08 | $0.690 | $110.46 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?No | buy | 441.54 | $0.762 | $336.49 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?No | buy | 138 | $0.473 | $65.34 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?No | buy | 382.75 | $0.466 | $178.23 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?No | buy | 571 | $0.455 | $259.96 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.658 | $1.26K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?No | buy | 1.85K | $0.778 | $1.44K | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Fake News" during Speech to the Nation?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.739 | $1.18K | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?No | buy | 1.62K | $0.135 | $219.34 | Jul 17, 2026 |