Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 4:46 PM UTC.
Analytics
Ideal-Arch has made $2.84K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 4:46 PM UTC.
$15.9 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 21 markets; 48.0% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 12.09K | $0.787 | $10.03K | +$521.91 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 133 | $0.994 | $132.2 | 5h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 02:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 16:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 16:46 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 02:24 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.99K and losing ones cost $154.16 across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $322.41 on “Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $32.25 on “Paris curfew by October 21?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 575 markets. Its open positions are worth $53.56K across 218 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 9.97K |
| $0.765 |
| $8.13K |
| +$501.71 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | No | 5.55K | $0.873 | $4.83K | -$15.7 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 5.09K | $0.659 | $3.89K | +$536.31 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 2.2K | $0.917 | $2.14K | +$119.48 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.7K | $0.699 | $1.91K | +$15.59 |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | Yes | 2.15K | $0.732 | $1.69K | +$113.92 |
 Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? | No | 1.55K | $0.944 | $1.5K | +$34.43 |
| Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? | No | 1.32K | $0.983 | $1.3K | +$8.97 |
 US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | Yes | 1.12K | $0.804 | $953.53 | +$56.95 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.22K | $0.828 | $923.96 | -$89.88 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 934.14 | $0.788 | $784.68 | +$48.39 |
 Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31? | Yes | 777.3 | $0.784 | $729.5 | +$120.27 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 895.27 | $0.813 | $684.88 | -$43.11 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 639.99 | $0.956 | $615.99 | +$4.4 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | No | 5.19K | $0.205 | $596.96 | -$465.3 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | 703.59 | $0.798 | $583.98 | +$22.65 |
 Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31? | No | 558.8 | $0.876 | $538.12 | +$48.62 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 444.99 | $0.935 | $429.19 | +$12.9 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 800 | $0.510 | $420 | +$12 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 475.99 | $0.841 | $383.17 | -$16.9 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 3.18K | $0.225 | $365.81 | -$349.78 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 380 | $0.909 | $351.5 | +$6.05 |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | Yes | 406.42 | $0.786 | $335.3 | +$15.87 |
 Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | Yes | 350.01 | $0.860 | $308.01 | +$7 |
| buy |
| 466 |
| $0.820 |
| $382.12 |
| 10h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | sell | 466 | $0.830 | $386.78 | 10h ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 50.36 | $0.993 | $50.01 | 21h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 0.33 | $0.820 | $0.27 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.710 | $2.45 | 1d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | 1d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.860 | $94.6 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.965 | $30.88 | 1d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.800 | $144 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.13 | $0.965 | $4.95 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.18 | $0.965 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.08 | $0.965 | $4.9 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.25 | $0.965 | $5.07 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.21 | $0.965 | $5.03 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.965 | $4.99 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.965 | $4.87 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.07 | $0.965 | $4.89 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.965 | $4.83 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.965 | $4.91 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.965 | $4.85 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.965 | $5.12 | 1d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 1d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 208.61 | $0.965 | $201.36 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.901 | $108.17 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.007 | $0.14 | 1d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes | sell | 563.92 | $0.025 | $14.15 | 1d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes | sell | 227.69 | $0.030 | $6.93 | 1d ago |
 Plague pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 190 | $0.982 | $186.58 | 1d ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 57.34 | $0.840 | $48.17 | 1d ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.840 | $10.5 | 1d ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | 1d ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 30.16 | $0.840 | $25.33 | 1d ago |
| Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?No | buy | 28.72 | $0.953 | $27.37 | 1d ago |
| Plague pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.982 | $9.82 | 1d ago |
 Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 115.13 | $0.054 | $6.22 | 2d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | 2d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.800 | $64 | 2d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.051 | $10.16 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.830 | $1.22 | 2d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 125.25 | $0.940 | $117.74 | 2d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 18.68 | $0.930 | $17.37 | 2d ago |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.720 | $21.59 | 2d ago |
 France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.830 | $49.8 | 2d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | 2d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.