Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | No | 300 | $0.970 | $297.75 | +$6.7 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.940 | $18.79 | 12h ago |
 |
| No |
| 160 |
| $0.932 |
| $147.76 |
| -$1.3 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? | No | 100 | $0.959 | $98.5 | +$2.6 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 70 | $0.806 | $59.85 | +$3.45 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 60 | $0.855 | $54.3 | +$3 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.810 | $42.5 | +$2 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.934 | $38.46 | +$1.08 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 40 | $0.936 | $38.46 | +$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.900 | $37.6 | +$1.6 |
 Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.920 | $37.4 | +$0.6 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 38.08 | $0.880 | $33.8 | +$0.3 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 30 | $0.930 | $28.65 | +$0.75 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.860 | $27.45 | +$1.65 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | $0.420 | $23.25 | +$2.25 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 20 | $0.977 | $19.97 | +$0.43 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.967 | $19.75 | +$0.42 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.980 | $19.71 | +$0.11 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? | No | 20 | $0.946 | $19.45 | +$0.53 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.934 | $19.02 | +$0.34 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.910 | $18.9 | +$0.7 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.930 | $18.7 | +$0.1 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $18.5 | +$0.7 |
 Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.910 | $18.5 | +$0.3 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.930 | $18.5 | -$0.1 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.900 | $18.2 | +$0.2 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.896 |
| $8.96 |
| 14h ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.895 | $5.37 | 17h ago |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.929 | $92.9 | 2d ago |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.921 | $9.21 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | 7d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.270 | $13.5 | 7d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.956 | $9.56 | 10d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.939 | $9.39 | 10d ago |
 Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.969 | $48.45 | 12d ago |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.978 | $48.91 | 12d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | 12d ago |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | 12d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 15d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | 15d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | 15d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 15d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.962 | $19.24 | 15d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No | buy | 30 | $0.870 | $26.1 | 16d ago |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | 17d ago |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.916 | $9.16 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.974 | $9.74 | 17d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.976 | $9.76 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.131 | $1.31 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.867 | $17.34 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.112 | $1.12 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.927 | $18.54 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.927 | $9.27 | 20d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | 20d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August?No | buy | 10 | $0.947 | $9.47 | 20d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 18?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 24d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | 24d ago |
 Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?No | sell | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | 25d ago |
| Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.610 | $18.3 | 25d ago |
| Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?No | buy | 10 | $0.839 | $8.39 | 25d ago |
| Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?No | buy | 10 | $0.619 | $6.19 | 25d ago |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 33.49 | $0.045 | $1.5 | 28d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.853 | $8.53 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | 28d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | 28d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | 28d ago |