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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.114 | $13.79 | +$12.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 29.99 |
| $0.104 |
| $13.47 |
| +$10.35 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 29.98 | $0.039 | $12.64 | +$11.47 |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 30 | $0.059 | $11.33 | +$9.56 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 15 | $0.282 | $9.43 | +$5.2 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 8 | $0.280 | $6.6 | +$4.36 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 20 | $0.060 | $4.85 | +$3.65 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | Yes | 80 | $0.018 | $4.08 | +$2.64 |
 Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 30 | $0.109 | $3.59 | +$0.32 |
 Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Yes | 10 | $0.270 | $3.55 | +$0.85 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.610 | $3.4 | +$0.35 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.250 | $3.15 | +$0.65 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 14.99 | $0.120 | $2.55 | +$0.75 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | No | 15 | $0.150 | $2.48 | +$0.23 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 20 | $0.130 | $2.31 | -$0.29 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.014 | $2.3 | +$0.9 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 12 | $0.084 | $2.26 | +$1.25 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.100 | $2.25 | -$0.25 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? | Yes | 10 | $0.280 | $2.2 | -$0.6 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.011 | $2 | +$0.9 |
 Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | $0 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.236 | $1.95 | -$0.41 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.110 | $1.87 | +$0.22 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.310 | $1.83 | +$0.28 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 5 | $0.340 | $1.78 | +$0.08 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.840 |
| $4.2 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 4.85 | $0.080 | $0.39 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.120 | $1.8 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 12.14 | $0.008 | $0.1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.009 | $1.35 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.310 | $4.34 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.070 | $0.98 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.034 | $3.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.070 | $2.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No | sell | 7 | $0.981 | $6.87 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.250 | $1.75 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.160 | $2.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?No | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.021 | $0.84 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.034 | $1.36 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | sell | 74.98 | $0.020 | $1.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.009 | $1.17 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.025 | $1.25 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.007 | $1.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?No | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.062 | $1.24 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.018 | $1.26 | Jun 16, 2026 |