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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 981.93 | $0.815 | $839.55 | +$39.55 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 481.93 | $0.830 | $400 | 6d ago |
| Yes |
| 560.48 |
| $0.633 |
| $249.42 |
| -$105.35 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 175.06 | $0.828 | $149.68 | +$4.74 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 112.36 | $0.890 | $105.06 | +$5.06 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 113.38 | $0.882 | $104.02 | +$4.03 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 117.67 | $0.680 | $87.67 | +$7.67 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 50.63 | $0.790 | $43.29 | +$3.29 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 101.44 | $0.197 | $42.7 | +$22.7 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 53.37 | $0.618 | $41.9 | +$8.94 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 32.61 | $0.613 | $25.6 | +$5.6 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 24.57 | $0.814 | $21.99 | +$1.99 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 43.48 | $0.460 | $12.83 | -$7.17 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.800 |
| $400 |
| 7d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 113.38 | $0.882 | $100 | 7d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.61 | $0.570 | $26 | 11d ago |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?No | sell | 26.66 | $0.987 | $26.32 | 13d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 244.26 | $0.650 | $158.77 | 13d ago |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No | sell | 85.1 | $0.822 | $69.97 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 40.25 | $0.969 | $39 | 22d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 51.28 | $0.751 | $38.53 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | 23d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 77.15 | $0.264 | $20.35 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.72 | $0.860 | $29 | 23d ago |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.680 | $29.14 | 23d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.740 | $40 | 24d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.97 | $0.930 | $20.43 | 24d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.880 | $20.46 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 236.59 | $0.820 | $194 | 25d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.960 | $20.86 | 25d ago |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.984 | $22.88 | 25d ago |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 48.5 | $0.931 | $45.15 | 25d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 21.29 | $0.983 | $20.93 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 17.54 | $0.988 | $17.33 | 25d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.983 | $22.33 | 25d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 41.73 | $0.994 | $41.48 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 170.73 | $0.820 | $140 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 563.38 | $0.710 | $400 | 26d ago |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.700 | $30 | 27d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 458.46 | $0.962 | $441.04 | 27d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 134.33 | $0.670 | $90 | 27d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | 27d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 101.44 | $0.197 | $20 | 29d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | 29d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 50.63 | $0.790 | $40 | 29d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 59.7 | $0.670 | $40 | 29d ago |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 24.57 | $0.814 | $20 | 29d ago |
 Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 20.87 | $0.958 | $20 | 29d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?No | buy | 21.69 | $0.922 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.840 | $40 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 32.61 | $0.613 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 41.97 | $0.953 | $40 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 41.29 | $0.969 | $40 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |