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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 438.78 | $0.493 | $414.65 | +$198.26 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.380 | $5.7 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 75 |
| $0.447 |
| $64.88 |
| +$31.33 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | 483.85 | $0.367 | $60.48 | -$117.11 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 95 | $0.404 | $33.39 | -$4.97 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 30 | $0.145 | $23.55 | +$19.2 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100.42 | $0.243 | $22.59 | -$1.86 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 25.78 | $0.447 | $22.56 | +$11.04 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 75 | $0.413 | $22.13 | -$8.87 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 30 | $0.420 | $21.6 | +$9 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 70 | $0.425 | $20.3 | -$9.45 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 20 | $0.500 | $19.37 | +$9.37 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | No | 30 | $0.500 | $17.1 | +$2.1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 30 | $0.485 | $16.95 | +$2.4 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.500 | $15.9 | +$5.9 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 45 | $0.417 | $15.08 | -$3.67 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 29.5 | $0.380 | $14.9 | +$3.68 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 90 | $0.500 | $14.85 | -$30.15 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? | No | 15 | $0.500 | $14.54 | +$7.04 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.360 | $14.33 | +$8.93 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 15 | $0.500 | $14.29 | +$6.79 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.500 | $14.04 | +$6.54 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | Yes | 37.4 | $0.360 | $14.03 | +$0.57 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 130.15 | $0.209 | $12.36 | -$14.89 |
 Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | Yes | 15 | $0.500 | $12.3 | +$4.8 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 15 | $0.500 | $12 | +$4.5 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.480 |
| $2.4 |
| 7h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | 7h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | 7h ago |
 Will Iran target Syria by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.109 | $1.63 | 7h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | 7h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.500 | $7.5 | 7h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 15 | $0.470 | $7.05 | 7h ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | 14h ago |
| Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.139 | $2.09 | 15h ago |
| Will Iran target Syria by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.119 | $1.79 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | 18h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.352 | $5.27 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.303 | $4.55 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.276 | $4.14 | 2d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.79 | $0.056 | $0.44 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 2d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | 5d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 14.5 | $0.257 | $3.72 | 5d ago |
 Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.028 | $0.14 | 8d ago |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.4 | $0.400 | $2.96 | 8d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.190 | $2.85 | 8d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.090 | $1.35 | 8d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.110 | $1.65 | 9d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.017 | $0.26 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.004 | $0.06 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.390 | $5.85 | 9d ago |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.143 | $2.15 | 10d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.220 | $1.76 | 10d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | 10d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?No | buy | 15 | $0.050 | $0.75 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.349 | $5.24 | 11d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.230 | $3.45 | 11d ago |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | 12d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.350 | $5.25 | 13d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.035 | $0.53 | 13d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.350 | $5.25 | 15d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.340 | $5.1 | 15d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.469 | $7.03 | 16d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 16d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.304 | $4.56 | 16d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | 18d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | 18d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.126 | $1.89 | 18d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No | buy | 14.35 | $0.143 | $2.05 | 18d ago |