Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kash Patel out by September 30? | No | 421.05 | $0.950 | $412 | +$12 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 389.39 | $0.310 | $120.71 | 11d ago |
|
| No |
| 249.93 |
| $0.460 |
| $191.2 |
| +$76.2 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 171.88 | $0.320 | $134.92 | +$79.92 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 368.83 | $0.381 | $119.87 | -$20.78 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 127.03 | $0.857 | $118.78 | +$9.9 |
 Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 111.11 | $0.900 | $106.11 | +$6.11 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 389.39 | $0.310 | $99.29 | -$21.42 |
 John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31? | No | 64.18 | $0.779 | $57.44 | +$7.44 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 56.39 | $0.887 | $54.16 | +$4.16 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 53.57 | $0.560 | $42.59 | +$12.59 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 34.48 | $0.870 | $32.24 | +$2.24 |
 Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026? | No | 32.89 | $0.760 | $30.1 | +$5.1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 172.41 | $0.580 | $29.31 | -$70.69 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 31.25 | $0.640 | $24.84 | +$4.84 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.320 | $12.27 | -$16.82 |
| buy |
| 368.83 |
| $0.381 |
| $140.65 |
| 18d ago |
 Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 36.08 | $0.990 | $35.73 | 18d ago |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 53.19 | $0.974 | $51.8 | 18d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 65.49 | $0.900 | $58.94 | 18d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 490.68 | $0.474 | $232.59 | 20d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | sell | 32.13 | $0.993 | $31.91 | 20d ago |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 123.44 | $0.900 | $111.1 | 20d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 106.66 | $0.931 | $99.34 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 201.78 | $0.665 | $134.13 | 21d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 144.92 | $0.950 | $137.67 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 32.14 | $0.930 | $29.89 | 24d ago |
| John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?No | buy | 64.18 | $0.779 | $50 | 24d ago |
| Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 32.89 | $0.760 | $25 | 24d ago |
| Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 33.78 | $0.500 | $16.89 | 24d ago |
| Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 33.78 | $0.740 | $25 | 24d ago |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 8 minutes long?Yes | buy | 44.29 | $0.939 | $41.58 | 29d ago |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 55.5 | $0.900 | $49.95 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?Yes | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 145.59 | $0.664 | $96.73 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 52.3 | $0.650 | $34 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long?Yes | buy | 28.09 | $0.890 | $25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.720 | $30 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 63.92 | $0.552 | $35.29 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 58.02 | $0.650 | $37.71 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 27.6 | $0.725 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 115.94 | $0.690 | $80 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 112.24 | $0.490 | $55 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 36.08 | $0.970 | $35 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 65.49 | $0.763 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 257.94 | $0.969 | $250 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 56.39 | $0.887 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 106.67 | $0.750 | $80 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by September 30?No | buy | 421.05 | $0.950 | $400 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.735 | $15 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 171.88 | $0.320 | $55 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | buy | 88.03 | $0.284 | $25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.78 | $0.578 | $17.79 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?No | buy | 24.23 | $0.300 | $7.27 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 96.25 | $0.156 | $15 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.580 | $1.25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 22.27 | $0.988 | $22 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.69 | $0.580 | $12 | Jul 24, 2026 |