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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 2.58K | $0.440 | $2.2K | +$1.07K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 25.5 | $0.870 | $22.19 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.8K |
| $0.819 |
| $1.4K |
| -$79.08 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 1.35K | $0.796 | $1.22K | +$147.48 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.22K | $0.795 | $1.04K | +$72.64 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 889.72 | $0.806 | $751.81 | +$34.9 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 900.87 | $0.717 | $743.22 | +$97.43 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 719.95 | $0.605 | $601.16 | +$165.89 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 605 | $0.870 | $547.53 | +$21.18 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 610 | $0.811 | $533.75 | +$39.05 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 553.5 | $0.780 | $500.92 | +$69.19 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 499.99 | $0.630 | $392.49 | +$77.5 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 422.7 | $0.665 | $352.95 | +$71.65 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.960 | $286.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.893 | $283.5 | +$15.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.674 | $280.5 | +$78.41 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 350 | $0.537 | $274.75 | +$86.75 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | No | 416.22 | $0.652 | $272.62 | +$1.38 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31? | No | 347.71 | $0.763 | $259.04 | -$6.45 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 350.12 | $0.657 | $257.34 | +$27.3 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 357.67 | $0.779 | $239.64 | -$38.91 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | No | 300.57 | $0.838 | $238.95 | -$13.05 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 276.76 | $0.771 | $220.02 | +$6.55 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | No | 206.8 | $0.910 | $202.56 | +$14.37 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 250 | $0.730 | $198.75 | +$16.25 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 200.01 | $0.856 | $188.01 | +$16.86 |
| buy |
| 117 |
| $0.800 |
| $93.6 |
| 3h ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | 3h ago |
 NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | 3h ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.960 | $288 | 1d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 59.99 | $0.710 | $42.59 | 2d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 51.45 | $0.688 | $35.4 | 3d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 156.23 | $0.700 | $109.36 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.830 | $166 | 3d ago |
 Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.850 | $18.7 | 7d ago |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 49.13 | $0.907 | $44.58 | 7d ago |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 83.11 | $0.800 | $66.49 | 7d ago |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 7d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | 7d ago |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | 7d ago |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.937 | $28.11 | 7d ago |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 7d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | 7d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.829 | $82.89 | 7d ago |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 18.79 | $0.499 | $9.38 | 7d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | 7d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.499 | $14.97 | 7d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.498 | $7.47 | 7d ago |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 7d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.830 | $91.3 | 7d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 280 | $0.350 | $98 | 7d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | 7d ago |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?No | buy | 85.57 | $0.810 | $69.31 | 7d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.810 | $243 | 7d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 82.5 | $0.870 | $71.78 | 7d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.940 | $4.85 | 7d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.930 | $65.1 | 7d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 195.95 | $0.980 | $192.03 | 9d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | 9d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?No | buy | 61 | $0.850 | $51.85 | 9d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 179.82 | $0.900 | $161.84 | 9d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.979 | $29.37 | 9d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.970 | $6.79 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | 15d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | 15d ago |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.760 | $4.56 | 15d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | buy | 81.17 | $0.660 | $53.57 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.810 | $48.6 | 16d ago |
 Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 16d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.810 | $52.65 | 16d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.920 | $138 | 16d ago |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.751 | $37.54 | 16d ago |
