Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 632.91 | $0.790 | $572.78 | +$72.79 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 518.81 |
| $0.771 |
| $470.82 |
| +$70.82 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 1.81K | $0.259 | $298.41 | -$169.58 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 358.04 | $0.558 | $223.77 | +$23.77 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 870.48 | $0.154 | $100.11 | -$33.89 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 434.78 | $0.230 | $91.3 | -$8.7 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 115.38 | $0.520 | $76.73 | +$16.73 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 242.86 | $0.700 | $49.79 | -$120.21 |
| buy |
| 49.8 |
| $0.080 |
| $4 |
| 2d ago |
| Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | 3d ago |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore OriolesCleveland Guardians | buy | 92.31 | $0.650 | $60 | 3d ago |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. AthleticsToronto Blue Jays | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 50.63 | $0.790 | $40 | 4d ago |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | 4d ago |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado RockiesSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 95.24 | $0.840 | $80 | 5d ago |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesBoston Red Sox | buy | 41.67 | $0.720 | $30 | 5d ago |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesAtlanta Braves | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | 5d ago |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati RedsMilwaukee Brewers | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 5d ago |
| Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City RoyalsMiami Marlins | buy | 16.35 | $0.230 | $3.76 | 8d ago |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago CubsMilwaukee Brewers | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | 8d ago |
| Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City RoyalsMiami Marlins | sell | 23.8 | $0.970 | $23.09 | 9d ago |
| New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay RaysNew York Mets | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | 9d ago |
| Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City RoyalsMiami Marlins | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | 9d ago |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosChicago White Sox | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Houston Astros vs. New York YankeesHouston Astros | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 16d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | 16d ago |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Miami MarlinsBoston Red Sox | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 870.48 | $0.154 | $134 | 16d ago |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 208.55 | $0.957 | $199.58 | 16d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 242.86 | $0.700 | $170 | 20d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 180 | $0.984 | $177.12 | 20d ago |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 208.55 | $0.959 | $200 | 20d ago |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle MarinersChicago Cubs | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | 21d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 518.81 | $0.771 | $400 | 22d ago |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers | buy | 114.29 | $0.070 | $8 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 609.75 | $0.994 | $606.09 | 23d ago |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 115.38 | $0.520 | $60 | 26d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 632.91 | $0.790 | $500 | 27d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 358.04 | $0.559 | $200 | 27d ago |
 Seattle Mariners vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | 29d ago |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.300 | $50 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.520 | $324.69 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsPittsburgh Pirates | buy | 22.31 | $0.260 | $5.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 666.5 | $0.940 | $626.51 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 180 | $0.500 | $90 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersSeattle Mariners | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Chicago White SoxHouston Astros | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 740.74 | $0.270 | $200 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.240 | $200 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 483.87 | $0.998 | $482.9 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 234.48 | $0.290 | $68 | Jul 18, 2026 |