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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 9.77K | $0.809 | $9.68K | +$1.77K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 2.05K | $0.994 | $2.04K | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 8.83K |
| $0.584 |
| $6.84K |
| +$1.68K |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 7.2K | $0.773 | $6.45K | +$877.13 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 4.17K | $0.880 | $4.06K | +$393.75 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 15K | $0.249 | $3.83K | +$93.97 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7.51K | $0.430 | $3.57K | +$337.97 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 3.83K | $0.785 | $3.36K | +$355.55 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 15K | $0.251 | $2.98K | -$792.47 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 15K | $0.385 | $2.93K | -$2.85K |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 2.74K | $0.650 | $2.64K | +$854.54 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 2.47K | $0.649 | $2.36K | +$750.5 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.41K | $0.804 | $2.18K | +$242.62 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 2.79K | $0.677 | $2.08K | +$189.59 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.4K | $0.709 | $2.04K | +$335.67 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 6.75K | $0.155 | $1.89K | +$839.67 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.84K | $0.695 | $1.88K | -$795.29 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | No | 1.76K | $0.801 | $1.73K | +$322.71 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 1.83K | $0.860 | $1.68K | +$109.62 |
 Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 1.6K | $0.342 | $1.41K | +$866.55 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 1.59K | $0.317 | $1.33K | +$823.72 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.44K | $0.791 | $1.17K | +$30.14 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.909 | $1.08K | +$79.71 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 3.64K | $0.552 | $1.02K | -$991.74 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.44K | $0.008 | $1.01K | +$986.97 |
 Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 971.2 | $0.971 | $959.55 | +$16.51 |
| sell |
| 11.47K |
| $0.996 |
| $11.43K |
| 2d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 41.18 | $0.600 | $24.71 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.74 | $0.600 | $6.44 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | sell | 3.81 | $0.076 | $0.29 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.29 | $0.530 | $2.27 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.600 | $3.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 11.09 | $0.220 | $2.44 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 11.95 | $0.110 | $1.31 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.74 | $0.600 | $6.44 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.630 | $3.94 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 261.79 | $0.210 | $54.98 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 47.47 | $0.440 | $20.89 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.770 | $11.55 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 43.68 | $0.130 | $5.68 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 25.21 | $0.590 | $14.87 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.330 | $11.88 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 16.48 | $0.590 | $9.72 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.550 | $19.25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.61 | $0.600 | $14.77 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.04 | $0.570 | $6.29 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 5.8 | $0.200 | $1.16 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.04 | $0.580 | $6.4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 3.06 | $0.180 | $0.55 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.29 | $0.460 | $1.97 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.65 | $0.550 | $4.21 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 80.31 | $0.550 | $44.17 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.960 | $28.8 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.130 | $0.66 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 62.99 | $0.560 | $35.27 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.959 | $14.39 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.39 | $0.570 | $4.78 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.530 | $22.08 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.550 | $14.85 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 301 | $0.180 | $54.18 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.957 | $4.79 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.11 | $0.570 | $6.9 | Aug 3, 2026 |