Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 47.92 | $0.646 | $35.94 | +$5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | 7h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 54.05 |
| $0.628 |
| $35.4 |
| +$1.45 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 41.65 | $0.872 | $32.49 | -$3.84 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 39.99 | $0.718 | $28.59 | -$0.1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 37.99 | $0.696 | $26.78 | +$0.36 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 37.5 | $0.661 | $26.44 | +$1.63 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 48.8 | $0.488 | $24.64 | +$0.84 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 27.9 | $0.887 | $24.41 | -$0.35 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 53.19 | $0.600 | $23.67 | -$8.24 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.786 | $20.63 | +$0.97 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 20 | $0.860 | $18.9 | +$1.7 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September? | No | 20 | $0.835 | $18.5 | +$1.8 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 18.91 | $0.596 | $18.22 | +$6.95 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 20 | $0.885 | $18.2 | +$0.49 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 39 | $0.584 | $17.75 | -$5.03 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 20 | $0.755 | $17.67 | +$2.57 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.870 | $17.6 | +$0.2 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? | No | 20 | $0.810 | $17.4 | +$1.2 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.870 | $17.3 | -$0.1 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 20 | $0.880 | $17.3 | -$0.3 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.860 | $16.7 | -$0.5 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 20 | $0.842 | $16.54 | -$0.3 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | No | 20 | $0.600 | $16.5 | +$4.5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 17.18 | $0.885 | $16.24 | +$1.02 |
 Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? | Yes | 20 | $0.815 | $16 | -$0.3 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.620 |
| $6.2 |
| 11h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 11h ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 11h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | 12h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | 12h ago |
 Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 10.07 | $0.570 | $5.74 | 12h ago |
 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander BlockxAlexander Blockx | sell | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | 13h ago |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.47 | $0.918 | $5.94 | 13h ago |
 Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Yes | sell | 7.65 | $0.540 | $4.13 | 14h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | 18h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | 18h ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.753 | $5.65 | 22h ago |
 Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | 1d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | 1d ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 17.96 | $0.790 | $14.19 | 1d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | 1d ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 22.53 | $0.860 | $19.38 | 1d ago |
 Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.890 | $6.68 | 1d ago |
| US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander BlockxAlexander Blockx | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | 2d ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.59 | $0.520 | $2.91 | 2d ago |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | sell | 7 | $0.260 | $1.82 | 2d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | 2d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | 2d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 5.99 | $0.950 | $5.69 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 2d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | 2d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 9.82 | $0.570 | $5.6 | 2d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | 2d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.05 | $0.510 | $7.17 | 2d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 10.17 | $0.570 | $5.8 | 2d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 9.56 | $0.710 | $6.79 | 2d ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 5.92 | $0.860 | $5.09 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 6.46 | $0.790 | $5.1 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 3d ago |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | 3d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Grüne | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 3d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.55 | $0.710 | $6.78 | 3d ago |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 4d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.720 | $7.51 | 4d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 4d ago |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.351 | $2.63 | 4d ago |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.690 | $5.18 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.700 | $7.95 | 5d ago |