Analytics
StupidMonkeyyy has made $6.3K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.47K | $0.888 | $6.22K | +$472.08 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$529.75 | $537.68 | 208 | 5 | 40.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | buy | 226.99 | $0.350 | $79.45 | 57m ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 16:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
36 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 00:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 00:34 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 16:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $53.95K and losing ones cost $31.39K across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15.26K on “US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.58K on “US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?” (No).
It has traded 428 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($537.68). Its open positions are worth $23.63K across 36 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 7.36K |
| $0.723 |
| $5.71K |
| +$383.01 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 3.6K | $0.770 | $2.8K | +$35.95 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 7.36K | $0.256 | $1.55K | -$337.93 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 1.49K | $0.641 | $1.25K | +$295.26 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1.05K | $0.968 | $1.02K | +$5.67 |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.780 | $803.25 | -$15.75 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 625 | $0.930 | $604.06 | +$22.81 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 2.11K | $0.200 | $463.26 | +$42.11 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 583.63 | $0.727 | $428.97 | +$4.7 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? | No | 442.13 | $0.723 | $362.54 | +$42.96 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1.05K | $0.220 | $246.75 | +$15.75 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027? | Yes | 376 | $0.656 | $242.52 | -$4.28 |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 691.58 | $0.388 | $235.14 | -$33.28 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 347.14 | $0.660 | $232.58 | +$3.47 |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 344.59 | $0.550 | $220.54 | +$31.01 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 6.47K | $0.095 | $187.58 | -$424.41 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | No | 170.55 | $0.809 | $148.38 | +$10.38 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? | No | 376 | $0.340 | $144.76 | +$16.92 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 858.04 | $0.372 | $137.29 | -$181.92 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 583.63 | $0.190 | $131.32 | +$20.43 |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | No | 600.27 | $0.274 | $126.06 | -$38.56 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? | Yes | 149.73 | $0.690 | $103.31 | -$0.07 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 442.12 | $0.252 | $77.37 | -$34.19 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? | No | 149.73 | $0.309 | $50.91 | +$4.67 |
| buy |
| 120 |
| $0.340 |
| $40.8 |
| 1h ago |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | buy | 347.14 | $0.660 | $229.11 | 1h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027? | buy | 376 | $0.656 | $246.8 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | sell | 105.76 | $0.820 | $86.72 | 2h ago |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | sell | 105.76 | $0.220 | $23.27 | 2h ago |
| Market details pending | sell | 776 | $0.730 | $566.48 | 3h ago |
| Market details pending | sell | 717.37 | $0.240 | $172.17 | 3h ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
