Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 620.8 | $0.573 | $412.83 | +$56.83 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 101.82 | $0.733 | $74.66 | 3d ago |
|
| No |
| 133.34 |
| $0.750 |
| $123.34 |
| +$23.34 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 126.65 | $0.790 | $121.58 | +$21.58 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 136.99 | $0.730 | $117.12 | +$17.12 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 143.04 | $0.699 | $98.7 | -$1.3 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 149.25 | $0.670 | $95.52 | -$4.48 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 106.35 | $0.630 | $94.12 | +$27.12 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.640 | $92.45 | +$28.45 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 536.81 | $0.240 | $72.47 | -$56.53 |
 Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026? | No | 75.63 | $0.859 | $71.85 | +$6.85 |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026? | No | 70.59 | $0.850 | $65.29 | +$5.29 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 65.06 | $0.830 | $59.53 | +$5.53 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | No | 60.71 | $0.840 | $54.64 | +$3.64 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 101.79 | $0.560 | $52.42 | -$4.58 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | No | 46.15 | $0.650 | $20.52 | -$9.48 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 35.89 | $0.279 | $6.1 | -$3.9 |
 Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 102.95 | $0.262 | $4.94 | -$22.06 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.1 | $0.078 | $0 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 75.34 |
| $0.817 |
| $61.56 |
| 3d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 338.98 | $0.590 | $200 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | buy | 143.04 | $0.699 | $100 | 5d ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | 5d ago |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 60.71 | $0.840 | $51 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.270 | $10.38 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 63.32 | $0.646 | $40.91 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 63.33 | $0.790 | $50 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 75.63 | $0.859 | $65 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | 8d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 106.3 | $0.164 | $17.41 | 8d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 46.15 | $0.650 | $30 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 107.33 | $0.154 | $16.52 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 75.59 | $0.132 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 121.95 | $0.802 | $97.81 | 10d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | 10d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 115.34 | $0.867 | $100 | 10d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.33 | $0.326 | $35 | 10d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?No | buy | 75.34 | $0.730 | $55 | 11d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 101.79 | $0.560 | $57 | 11d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.3 | $0.517 | $55 | 11d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 110.02 | $0.909 | $100 | 11d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 70.59 | $0.850 | $60 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 195.4 | $0.450 | $87.93 | 12d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 101.82 | $0.540 | $55 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 195.41 | $0.512 | $100 | 13d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 102.85 | $0.230 | $23.66 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 118 | $0.363 | $42.78 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 116.27 | $0.910 | $105.81 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 125 | $0.860 | $107.5 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 307.77 | $0.690 | $212.36 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | 16d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 237.01 | $0.812 | $192.55 | 16d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 435.99 | $0.512 | $223.43 | 16d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | 17d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 213.67 | $0.730 | $155.98 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 123.45 | $0.800 | $98.76 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 173.96 | $0.640 | $111.33 | 17d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.640 | $8 | 19d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | 19d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | 19d ago |