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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 3.79K | $0.727 | $2.82K | +$69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 267.46 | $0.520 | $139.08 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.43K |
| $0.160 |
| $1.39K |
| +$1.17K |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 1.36K | $0.627 | $1.23K | +$378.46 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.17K | $0.933 | $1.12K | +$32.04 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 1.06K | $0.720 | $946 | +$184.97 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.29K | $0.710 | $701 | -$217.91 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 729.99 | $0.760 | $627.79 | +$73 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 868.56 | $0.550 | $612.34 | +$134.63 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 538.96 | $0.768 | $491.26 | +$77.26 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 515.68 | $0.840 | $482.16 | +$48.99 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2.38K | $0.100 | $464.45 | +$226.27 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 494.25 | $0.760 | $422.58 | +$46.95 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 2.06K | $0.270 | $421.92 | -$133.78 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 1.33K | $0.499 | $418.22 | -$244.79 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 440.95 | $0.870 | $392.45 | +$8.82 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 774.2 | $0.490 | $383.23 | +$3.87 |
 Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | Pacquiao | 760.71 | $0.510 | $376.55 | -$11.41 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 683.61 | $0.360 | $372.57 | +$126.47 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.360 | $356.62 | -$5.02 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 508.56 | $0.700 | $353.45 | -$2.54 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 608.47 | $0.590 | $337.7 | -$21.3 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 1.67K | $0.217 | $332.22 | -$30.96 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 330.31 | $0.800 | $330.14 | +$65.9 |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 343.33 | $0.900 | $321.02 | +$12.02 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 478.93 | $0.640 | $308.91 | +$2.39 |
| buy |
| 729.99 |
| $0.760 |
| $554.79 |
| 15d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.100 | $238.18 | 15d ago |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.330 | $353.65 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 508.56 | $0.700 | $355.99 | 16d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.270 | $555.7 | 16d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.217 | $363.18 | 16d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 409.35 | $0.310 | $126.9 | 17d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 494.25 | $0.760 | $375.63 | 17d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.360 | $361.64 | 19d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.360 | $529.57 | 19d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | buy | 440.95 | $0.870 | $383.63 | 21d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.080 | $121.71 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 1.22K | $0.988 | $1.21K | 23d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 3.18K | $0.730 | $2.32K | 23d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | buy | 176.35 | $0.430 | $75.83 | 23d ago |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 561.51 | $0.810 | $454.82 | 23d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.190 | $1.39 | 24d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 115.56 | $0.790 | $91.29 | 25d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.230 | $379.75 | 27d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 774.2 | $0.490 | $379.36 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 259.83 | $0.770 | $200.07 | 27d ago |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Pacquiao | buy | 760.71 | $0.510 | $387.96 | 28d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 683.61 | $0.360 | $246.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 14.94 | $0.540 | $8.07 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 20.25 | $0.730 | $14.78 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 868.56 | $0.550 | $477.71 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 330.52 | $0.930 | $307.38 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 2.16K | $0.140 | $302.56 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 2.36K | $0.130 | $307.18 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 610.01 | $0.710 | $433.11 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 185.13 | $0.400 | $74.05 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.380 | $404.08 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 San Francisco Giants vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers | buy | 600.19 | $0.540 | $324.1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.320 | $414.44 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 141.96 | $0.887 | $125.92 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 608.47 | $0.590 | $359 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 2.05K | $0.352 | $719.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 716.55 | $0.370 | $265.12 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.76 | $0.399 | $17.86 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 2.05K | $0.110 | $224.96 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsNew York Mets | buy | 755.76 | $0.410 | $309.86 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.15K | $0.439 | $945.97 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen ZhengAlexandra Eala | buy | 1.17K | $0.420 | $493.22 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.370 | $479.19 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.840 | $1.03K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.773 | $998.62 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.763 | $1.03K | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 205 | $0.580 | $118.9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 341.02 | $0.940 | $320.56 | Jul 20, 2026 |