Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 54.15 | $0.554 | $50.06 | +$20.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.12 | $0.680 | $13 | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 67.8 |
| $0.634 |
| $47.46 |
| +$4.46 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 93.63 | $0.534 | $42.6 | -$7.4 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 34.69 | $0.490 | $32.09 | +$15.09 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 27.54 | $0.690 | $22.72 | +$3.72 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.740 | $16.99 | +$2.19 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15.63 | +$0.63 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 19.76 | $0.506 | $10.61 | +$0.61 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10.46 | +$0.46 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 7.58 | $0.660 | $2.92 | -$2.08 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 12.5 | $0.160 | $1.75 | -$0.25 |
| buy |
| 7.58 |
| $0.660 |
| $5 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 19.76 | $0.506 | $10 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | 7d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 27.54 | $0.690 | $19 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 39.39 | $0.660 | $26 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | 28d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | 28d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.15 | $0.554 | $30 | 28d ago |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 32.74 | $0.611 | $20 | 28d ago |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | 28d ago |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 48.68 | $0.616 | $30 | 28d ago |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.857 | $42.83 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.930 | $55.8 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 50 | $0.956 | $47.82 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.031 | $3.1 | 28d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 34.69 | $0.490 | $17 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?No | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.400 | $24 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | sell | 50 | $0.939 | $46.95 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 18 | $0.976 | $17.57 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 16.99 | $0.824 | $14 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.700 | $11.2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 50 | $0.650 | $32.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.994 | $30.81 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.850 | $11.9 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.930 | $46.49 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.650 | $20.15 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?No | sell | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?No | buy | 70 | $0.130 | $9.1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 545.73 | $0.007 | $3.82 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 20?No | buy | 8.94 | $0.330 | $2.95 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?No | buy | 70 | $0.210 | $14.7 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 19?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.999 | $20.98 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 19?Yes | buy | 6.62 | $0.849 | $5.62 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |