Analytics
Serega-pro is down $32.97K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 16.17K | $0.641 | $12.69K | +$2.32K |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-17 17:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 13:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 13:27 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-17 17:41 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $40.76K and losing ones cost $72.22K across the latest 50 settled positions. 40% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.06K on “Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $6.49K on “Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?” (No).
It has traded 792 markets. Its open positions are worth $32.1K across 87 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 12.95K |
| $0.305 |
| $10.1K |
| +$6.15K |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.39K | $0.727 | $3K | +$536.78 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 2.12K | $0.551 | $1.82K | +$646.19 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 2.05K | $0.413 | $1.69K | +$844.07 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | No | 705.12 | $0.610 | $592.3 | +$162.3 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 470.69 | $0.517 | $360.08 | +$116.91 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 430.1 | $0.179 | $333.33 | +$256.32 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | 384.62 | $0.780 | $261.54 | -$38.46 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 405.48 | $0.740 | $196.66 | -$103.34 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 322.28 | $0.559 | $149.86 | -$30.34 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 8.6K | $0.015 | $124.73 | -$5.27 |
 Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | No | 220.34 | $0.381 | $85.93 | +$1.93 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 73.24 | $0.326 | $62.62 | +$38.73 |
| Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 76.99 | $0.554 | $55.66 | +$12.97 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 46.82 | $0.651 | $39.8 | +$9.32 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 689.74 | $0.293 | $37.94 | -$164.06 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | Yes | 175.29 | $0.280 | $36.81 | -$12.27 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 39.05 | $0.714 | $33.78 | +$5.9 |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 33.64 | $0.833 | $32.79 | +$4.77 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 44.44 | $0.450 | $24.44 | +$4.44 |
 Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | Yes | 81.35 | $0.221 | $24 | +$6 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20.25 | +$0.25 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | No | 26.33 | $0.760 | $20.01 | $0 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 713.62 | $0.140 | $16.77 | -$83.23 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
