Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 16.16K | $0.641 | $12.85K | +$2.49K |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 12.95K |
| $0.305 |
| $9.91K |
| +$5.95K |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 2.12K | $0.551 | $1.62K | +$455.01 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 2.05K | $0.413 | $1.57K | +$721.24 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.07K | $0.704 | $1.48K | +$22.41 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | No | 705.12 | $0.610 | $564.09 | +$134.09 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 630.1 | $0.179 | $523.93 | +$411.12 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 459.64 | $0.653 | $441.02 | +$141.02 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 580.69 | $0.517 | $316.48 | +$16.48 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | 384.62 | $0.780 | $300 | +$0 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 249.65 | $0.401 | $223.44 | +$123.44 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 239.05 | $0.714 | $218.73 | +$48.08 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 405.48 | $0.740 | $202.74 | -$97.26 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 1.12K | $0.235 | $178.4 | -$83.73 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | No | 392.55 | $0.444 | $176.84 | +$2.39 |
 Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 1.26K | $0.152 | $94.23 | -$97.09 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 83.24 | $0.326 | $72 | +$44.85 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 92.59 | $0.540 | $71.76 | +$21.76 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 7.12K | $0.014 | $71.18 | -$28.82 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 76.82 | $0.651 | $67.22 | +$17.22 |
| Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 76.99 | $0.554 | $54.66 | +$11.97 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 36.14 | $0.830 | $33.61 | +$3.61 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 26.17 | $0.829 | $24.6 | +$2.9 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 28.57 | $0.350 | $24.43 | +$14.43 |
 Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30? | No | 24.48 | $0.817 | $23.66 | +$3.66 |
| sell |
| 48.07 |
| $0.566 |
| $27.22 |
| 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 144.23 | $0.617 | $89.03 | 2h ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | sell | 70 | $0.550 | $38.51 | 21h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 305.17 | $0.655 | $200 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.260 | $50 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 249.65 | $0.401 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 600 | $0.910 | $546 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 154.46 | $0.647 | $100 | 1d ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 42.03 | $0.590 | $24.8 | 2d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | 2d ago |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.070 | $0.78 | 2d ago |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | 2d ago |
 Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.520 | $200 | 2d ago |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 350 | $0.910 | $318.55 | 2d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.003 | $3.27 | 2d ago |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 8.21 | $0.609 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | 3d ago |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 181.79 | $0.495 | $90 | 4d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 42.92 | $0.466 | $20 | 4d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 14.43 | $0.416 | $6 | 4d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 292.45 | $0.410 | $120 | 4d ago |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.910 | $273 | 4d ago |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | 4d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.950 | $14.25 | 4d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 22.74 | $0.396 | $9 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.05K | $0.704 | $1.44K | 11d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.76 | $0.710 | $19 | 12d ago |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | 20d ago |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | sell | 3.85K | $0.009 | $36.25 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | buy | 200 | $0.420 | $84 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | buy | 205.02 | $0.410 | $84.06 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | buy | 300 | $0.419 | $125.84 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | buy | 300 | $0.410 | $123 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | buy | 510 | $0.404 | $205.99 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.819 | $245.7 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 16.25 | $0.820 | $13.33 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 33 | $0.780 | $25.74 | Aug 9, 2026 |