Analytics
Yes is at 18%, down 18 points from 36% when the market opened on 12 Feb 2026.
Across the 232 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 14.5% on 9 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 22.5%; a month before, 20%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 26% on 11 Jun 2026.
$10.54 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $18.66K since listing. The order book holds $11.57K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.49K bought Yes and $3.86K bought No.
The largest Yes position is shiepapito with 1K shares; the largest No position is vinii with 727. Ten wallets hold 56.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 232 points, 12 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | 36.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 18.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shiepapito | Yes | 1.05K |
| OnlyInGodWeTrust | Yes | 913.56 |
| vinii | No | 726.64 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-wear-a-yarmulke-in-2026
| Justitia |
| No |
| 523.13 |
| petralha | Yes | 492.81 |
| Bulan | No | 426.75 |
| garlictrump | No | 399.97 |
| Wan-Fusarium | Yes | 324.54 |
| Lannister. | Yes | 241.08 |
| 2B9S | No | 241 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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