Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 5K | $0.679 | $4.28K | +$879.25 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.9K | $0.470 | $893 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.4K |
| $0.900 |
| $3.35K |
| +$285.3 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.58K | $0.801 | $3.03K | +$165.99 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.782 | $1.71K | +$146 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 1.7K | $0.902 | $1.66K | +$126.65 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | Yes | 1.22K | $0.897 | $1.17K | +$77 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 1.72K | $0.721 | $1.16K | -$79.64 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 926.08 | $0.812 | $919.14 | +$167.27 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 817.4 | $0.738 | $600.79 | -$2.21 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 600 | $0.400 | $381 | +$141 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 400 | $0.665 | $358 | +$92 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 407.3 | $0.739 | $317.69 | +$16.77 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.745 | $306 | +$8 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 399.97 | $0.571 | $305.98 | +$77.4 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 315.67 | $0.769 | $266.74 | +$23.83 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 250 | $0.680 | $226.25 | +$56.25 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.650 | $133 | +$3 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 454.2 | $0.421 | $115.82 | -$75.44 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 200 | $0.640 | $91 | -$37 |
 Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 51 | $0.200 | $12.5 | +$2.3 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.26 | $0.770 | $3.94 | +$0.66 |
| sell |
| 464.82 |
| $0.732 |
| $340.26 |
| 2d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | sell | 1.73K | $0.980 | $1.7K | 5d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | sell | 71 | $0.980 | $69.58 | 13d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 2.79K | $0.995 | $2.78K | 15d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.730 | $730 | 17d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 3.44K | $0.993 | $3.42K | 17d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 426.1 | $0.840 | $357.92 | 17d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.21K | $0.996 | $1.2K | 19d ago |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No | sell | 564.83 | $0.202 | $114.05 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No | sell | 2.6K | $0.246 | $639.08 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.66K | $0.960 | $1.59K | 20d ago |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No | buy | 1.97K | $0.193 | $380 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 181.02 | $0.977 | $176.86 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 799.98 | $0.320 | $255.99 | 22d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 1.54K | $0.992 | $1.53K | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No | buy | 406 | $0.160 | $64.96 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 285.1 | $0.920 | $262.29 | 26d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.920 | $1.3K | 26d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 28.26 | $0.720 | $20.35 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 285.18 | $0.959 | $273.49 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 212.1 | $0.970 | $205.74 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 113 | $0.740 | $83.62 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.840 | $1.26K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 3.6K | $0.963 | $3.47K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 2.45K | $0.963 | $2.36K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 134.9 | $0.810 | $109.27 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 27.19 | $0.840 | $22.84 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.700 | $350 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 6.04K | $0.880 | $5.32K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 795.6 | $0.470 | $373.93 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.983 | $982.78 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 2.29K | $0.910 | $2.09K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.993 | $198.6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 562.5 | $0.992 | $558 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 510.56 | $0.870 | $444.19 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.6 | $0.850 | $5.61 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 305.2 | $0.100 | $30.52 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.347 | $346.94 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.289 | $300 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.994 | $1.99K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 243.01 | $0.093 | $22.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.610 | $122 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.996 | $996 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.996 | $996 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.995 | $1.99K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 717.4 | $0.747 | $536 | Jul 27, 2026 |