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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 523.13 | $0.799 | $384.5 | -$33.56 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.89K | $0.090 | $260.24 | Aug 11, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 4.2K |
| $0.170 |
| $712.88 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 916.22 | $0.130 | $119.11 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 3.41K | $0.217 | $741.88 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 477.53 | $0.837 | $399.82 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 405.43 | $0.980 | $397.18 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | buy | 383.59 | $0.993 | $380.9 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.59K | $0.991 | $1.57K | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.996 | $1.6K | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 927.61 | $0.995 | $922.97 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.089 | $4.09 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Nipah virus in US by March 31?No | buy | 280 | $0.994 | $278.32 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Nipah virus in US by March 31?No | buy | 516.19 | $0.994 | $513.09 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 199.44 | $0.980 | $195.45 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 139.32 | $0.080 | $11.15 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 124.65 | $0.170 | $21.19 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.978 | $46.57 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 822.48 | $0.982 | $807.92 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 5.04K | $0.979 | $4.93K | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 20.29 | $0.855 | $17.35 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 70.25 | $0.968 | $68 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 334.33 | $0.042 | $13.96 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 132 | $0.040 | $5.28 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.13K | $0.004 | $16.52 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?No | buy | 772.15 | $0.970 | $748.61 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Nipah virus in US by March 31?No | buy | 769.23 | $0.974 | $749.23 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 3.93K | $0.987 | $3.88K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No | buy | 17.64 | $0.740 | $13.05 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 6.32K | $0.910 | $5.75K | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.19K | $0.690 | $2.2K | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.998 | $67.86 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.980 | $1.7K | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 584.45 | $0.992 | $579.77 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 163.4 | $0.078 | $12.69 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 424.39 | $0.200 | $84.85 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 303.1 | $0.137 | $41.59 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 4.7K | $0.114 | $533.58 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 239.27 | $0.730 | $174.67 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes | buy | 8.81K | $0.990 | $8.72K | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 362.01 | $0.980 | $354.77 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 299.34 | $0.980 | $293.35 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Nipah virus in US by March 31?No | buy | 11.33 | $0.954 | $10.81 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Nipah virus in US by March 31?No | buy | 1.88K | $0.964 | $1.81K | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 123.63 | $0.130 | $16.07 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.498 | $29.9 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 3.43K | $0.302 | $1.04K | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 63.34 | $0.535 | $33.88 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 134.5 | $0.970 | $130.42 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 497.72 | $0.310 | $154.15 | Feb 6, 2026 |