Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

economyActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

0.1%

100.0%

Yes costs 0.05¢No costs 99.95¢

24h Volume

Total volume

$3.0M

Liquidity

$222.6K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Topic roomFed and FOMC

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.01M	0.0%	$0
Election2024	Yes	157K	0.8%	$1.19K
WolfCharge	Yes	100.02K	0.1%	$159.03
TimeTraveler	Yes	87.49K	1.1%	$1.01K
FluxCapacitor88	Yes	87.25K	0.4%	$312.58
vitordeng358	Yes	61.72K	0.3%	$160.11	Oct 21, 3:03 PM UTC
YasZoso	Yes	54.49K	0.3%	$142.26
Joebama	Yes	45K	3.0%	$1.35K
Bright Atlas 8A4A	Yes	43.33K	1.3%	$569.29
Anchored-Editor	Yes	36.38K	0.3%	$109.11
Copezilla	Yes	33.5K	0.3%	$100.48
hedidknow	Yes	20.67K	4.8%	$998.47
augustine314	Yes	18.57K	2.6%	$488.2
freedomjijin	Yes	12.88K	0.4%	$49.17
Tan-Jar	Yes	12.54K	8.9%	$1.12K
QuickSand67	Yes	11.46K	2.5%	$288.12
Robust-Everybody	Yes	10.65K	1.5%	$149.99
commi	Yes	10.61K	3.8%	$399.98
Brisk-Binoculars	Yes	10.04K	0.2%	$19.98	Oct 16, 6:08 PM UTC
tnl	Yes	10K	6.0%	$600
fiter	Yes	10K	0.2%	$20
DualDelta	Yes	9.55K	5.0%	$477.25
Lively-Award	Yes	8.08K	7.4%	$597.5
asiamajor6	Yes	8.08K	1.2%	$99.99
MtnMark	Yes	7K	0.5%	$33.99
scottylee	Yes	6.44K	3.3%	$215.07
Subtle-Cria	Yes	6.16K	3.1%	$188.99
rebotsliaf	Yes	5.55K	0.5%	$27.77
Turbulent-Decline-Router	Yes	5.54K	7.7%	$426.3
HerrieDavis	Yes	5.37K	7.7%	$412.88
xvsp	Yes	5.06K	1.9%	$97.34
Capital-Endoderm	Yes	5K	1.9%	$94.86
Flamboyant-Warming	Yes	4.18K	1.9%	$80.12
Poiuztrewq	Yes	3.5K	1.1%	$37.47
Monstredu38	Yes	3.47K	0.1%	$3.47
aitrades222	Yes	3.38K	4.3%	$144.09
Soothsayer	Yes	3K	1.4%	$41
ViVeViSfy	Yes	2.59K	0.3%	$6.67
-FROMTHEFUTURE-	Yes	2.53K	0.2%	$5.04
Bravo414	Yes	2.53K	0.4%	$10
Perypery	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Mangol	No	2.42K	99.9%	$2.42K
echo021301	Yes	2.07K	7.0%	$144.96
Prickly-Eyrie	Yes	2.04K	0.7%	$14.61
helecton	Yes	2.03K	1.4%	$28
butterB0T	Yes	2K	6.0%	$120
haruk098	Yes	1.91K	2.3%	$43.69
cryptoatma	Yes	1.59K	7.0%	$110.99
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	1.56K	0.0%	$0
Spotted-Chasuble	Yes	1.5K	6.3%	$94.8
Coral Orbit E8E5	Yes	1.5K	0.1%	$1.5	Oct 27, 3:38 AM UTC
lunae20	Yes	1.5K	5.0%	$75
investmax	Yes	1.5K	5.0%	$75
Zachattack500	Yes	1.49K	2.5%	$37.42
Siziriv	Yes	1.48K	4.2%	$61.86
xlefgerx	Yes	1.46K	2.7%	$39
AlAhmeda	Yes	1.45K	0.4%	$5.82
subzero	Yes	1.37K	2.2%	$30.64
Foolish-Mileage	Yes	1.25K	0.4%	$5
JupSon	Yes	1.25K	0.1%	$1.84	Oct 5, 9:40 AM UTC
nryy	Yes	1.2K	2.9%	$34.69
donthackme	Yes	1.09K	7.7%	$84.05
Haradwaith	Yes	1.07K	8.2%	$87.86
haroldfintch	Yes	1.07K	11.4%	$121.37
balthazar	Yes	1.05K	7.7%	$80.75
Rapid Voyager 266E	Yes	1.02K	0.1%	$1.02	Oct 22, 5:56 PM UTC
Solar Kestrel 0A74	Yes	1.02K	0.1%	$1.02	Oct 22, 7:38 AM UTC
Big-Dash-Bongo	Yes	1K	0.4%	$4
Dear-Grip	No	1K	90.0%	$900
Fefou75	Yes	1K	9.0%	$90
takeshikovacs2	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3
TheMasterMind	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3
gremlin	Yes	1K	8.0%	$80
Lyka2.718281	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Oct 23, 9:21 PM UTC
General	Yes	999.99	7.0%	$70
Vapid-Microlending	Yes	997.98	0.1%	$1
immanuelcan	Yes	974.74	1.2%	$11.7
rated	Yes	932.52	7.7%	$72.08
nofreelunch	Yes	909.09	1.1%	$10
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	853.07	0.9%	$7.87
MontyWalsh	Yes	800	11.0%	$88
labistiiia	Yes	782.12	0.1%	$0.78
GingerMcKenna	Yes	750.83	7.8%	$58.19
Beneficial-Cord	Yes	750.21	6.9%	$52.05
teikichihori	Yes	719.5	3.5%	$25
initowinit	Yes	719.4	1.4%	$10
coco112	Yes	706	7.0%	$49.42
FlashTradeOracle	Yes	666.68	2.3%	$15.4
dika17	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
Jade Quasar D7A7	Yes	630.02	1.0%	$6.5
products	Yes	624.42	7.7%	$48.03
e46m3	Yes	573.04	7.7%	$44.08
Anon234	Yes	555.55	8.0%	$44.44
murilojssilva	Yes	552.6	1.4%	$7.69
Improbable-Feature	Yes	523.81	2.1%	$11
Victor1997	Yes	517	7.0%	$36.19
Shampooo	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
MonkyTrador	Yes	500	2.1%	$10.5
Feisty-Orientation	Yes	494.2	1.7%	$8.5
striveboy	Yes	443.99	6.9%	$30.52
Trifling-Sampan	Yes	437	0.3%	$1.31
Indigo Tide 215D	Yes	424.86	2.3%	$9.72
Gloomy-Clipboard	Yes	400.04	6.0%	$24
Akbar1	Yes	400	7.0%	$28
Hotbugster	Yes	389.72	1.3%	$5
Bowed-Insulation	Yes	389.03	2.6%	$10
steiner	Yes	359.98	3.0%	$10.8
chrispike2	Yes	357.14	1.5%	$5
No-risk-no-bisc	Yes	357.14	1.4%	$5
cigarettes	Yes	336.22	7.7%	$25.86
Noteworthy-Jumpsuit	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Gorea	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
USATrader	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
LornaPredicts	Yes	332.49	3.6%	$12.14
nicoco89	Yes	327.83	7.0%	$22.95
MIX-695	Yes	300	7.0%	$21
Petros	Yes	300	7.0%	$21
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	299.99	0.0%	$0
dwasdwad	Yes	299.99	5.0%	$15
BAWANGMAO	Yes	290	2.2%	$6.33
Old-Fashioned-Mama	Yes	285.7	1.8%	$5.14
k26663583	Yes	265.23	2.6%	$6.9
dsfd3	Yes	260	0.2%	$0.52
Deez4U	Yes	250	2.0%	$5
Instructive-Recognition	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
sankil	Yes	241.08	15.4%	$37.16
Jade Maven 34B8	Yes	240	4.2%	$10
Jade Horizon 7C12	Yes	235.97	2.9%	$6.98	Oct 16, 4:57 AM UTC
mangoking05	Yes	235	0.3%	$0.7
Silver Atlas DDDA	Yes	222	3.2%	$7.02
FutureTech	Yes	221.99	5.7%	$12.69
Luckybenny	Yes	216.07	7.9%	$17
KickstandBot	Yes	210	4.3%	$9.03
xiaoaojiang	Yes	205	0.4%	$0.82
GabrielMangoFierro	No	202.02	99.0%	$200
eeferw	No	200	99.2%	$198.4
2AC	Yes	200	8.0%	$16
qqxia	Yes	200	6.5%	$13
Jade Quasar D7A7	No	199.65	89.5%	$178.73
Sinmihai	Yes	192.31	1.3%	$2.5
KenX	Yes	191.36	10.4%	$20
ducavendish	Yes	190	2.9%	$5.42
yuanzhang	Yes	184.53	14.3%	$26.4
123987456	Yes	176.65	7.7%	$13.59
hamed.gh	Yes	173.93	1.2%	$2
Samtheman.zh	Yes	166.67	6.0%	$10
johnnyboi55555	Yes	160.8	3.1%	$5
Paolo05	Yes	153.85	1.3%	$2
simplystupid188	Yes	150.81	0.7%	$1.11
LesterDiamond	Yes	150.27	7.1%	$10.6
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150	0.1%	$0.15
Logan.	No	147.85	97.1%	$143.61
VeViVi	Yes	142.86	7.0%	$10
Skinny-Bee	Yes	141	4.3%	$6.06
Kristiansantich	Yes	137.09	11.3%	$15.45
trhgfnbgcfndg	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
EpsteinIsland	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
Sixsevensix	Yes	119.98	0.9%	$1.08
Arid-Phase	Yes	118	1.9%	$2.24
Ruxpin84	Yes	107.69	3.7%	$4
ma99	Yes	101.55	0.1%	$0.1
akunai	Yes	100.01	0.1%	$0.1
Glistening-Combination	No	100	98.9%	$98.8
elvis1007	Yes	100	50.0%	$50
Unknow2.2	Yes	100	5.0%	$5
calinbadea	Yes	100	6.0%	$6
itabot2	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
Dr.Sharif	Yes	100	0.3%	$0.3
Milky-Delay	Yes	100	8.0%	$8
AheadArbitrage	Yes	100	0.3%	$0.3
JesusPsych	Yes	100	2.5%	$2.5
KROKETA	Yes	100	11.0%	$11
Simon4s	Yes	100	6.0%	$6
Attached-Prairie	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
Pandarinos	Yes	99.96	0.1%	$0.1
Crimson Summit 6D33	Yes	99.91	0.1%	$0.1
JoE	Yes	98.4	7.7%	$7.57
Golden Lynx 4292	Yes	94.44	11.6%	$11
Kindly-Loggia	Yes	90.91	2.2%	$2
gsrwrwrew	No	90	99.1%	$89.19
quidy	Yes	88.78	0.0%	$0
adegf	No	88	98.9%	$87.03
38791873984189	Yes	88	7.7%	$6.77
Zky	Yes	87.85	13.0%	$11.42
kunsect77	Yes	84.75	7.7%	$6.52
Griffin716	Yes	83.33	6.0%	$5
jesus-rooster	Yes	83.33	6.0%	$5
RPro	Yes	83.33	1.8%	$1.5
Misty Pioneer 3A2A	No	80	99.1%	$79.28
Pxtr	Yes	80	2.4%	$1.92
twilly	Yes	80	6.4%	$5.12
fang1957	Yes	80	0.2%	$0.16
pokimanee	Yes	76.92	1.4%	$1
Nieper	Yes	76.92	1.3%	$1
Lorens12	Yes	76.92	1.3%	$1
SHIKIMI05	Yes	76.92	1.4%	$1
Eeevgeni	Yes	76.92	1.3%	$1
Bare-Effective	Yes	75.5	2.6%	$2
DegenPlayPuz	Yes	71.43	1.4%	$1
Jalex451	Yes	71.43	1.5%	$1
Kittenluo	Yes	71.43	1.5%	$1
quiddy	Yes	70.37	0.0%	$0
Mozckito3	Yes	66.67	1.6%	$1
HJYHM	Yes	64.58	1.1%	$0.71
TravelerJeff	Yes	62.5	1.7%	$1
jennylulu2016	Yes	62	4.2%	$2.58
itsjustcheddar	Yes	61.85	50.0%	$30.93
capetsa	Yes	60	0.0%	$0
ghorrock	Yes	55.5	6.1%	$3.41
starhome	Yes	52.63	1.9%	$1
Arepoz	Yes	52.5	1.9%	$1
Tee1000	Yes	50.02	7.0%	$3.52
nigatoilet	Yes	50	8.0%	$4
tawerny	Yes	50	6.0%	$3
kokosnasnehu	Yes	50	6.0%	$3
.Menthe	Yes	49.95	0.1%	$0.05
wavesinthesky	Yes	47.62	2.1%	$1
suntori	Yes	47.62	2.1%	$1
Bold Orbit C29F	Yes	47.62	2.1%	$1
OmaJane	Yes	44.84	0.0%	$0
blurmaggie888	Yes	43.48	2.3%	$1
PMBMC	No	40.51	98.8%	$40.02
wankerjoesleeper	Yes	39.96	0.0%	$0
snic	Yes	34.48	2.9%	$1
Helpful-Life	Yes	33.33	3.0%	$1
Keen Quasar 6498	Yes	33.32	11.0%	$3.67
Lavincey	Yes	30	1.1%	$0.33
Pirow	Yes	30	10.0%	$3
LeechLord	Yes	30	12.4%	$3.73
daroghi	Yes	30	4.3%	$1.29
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.	Yes	29.05	5.0%	$1.45
brzcfh	Yes	28.57	7.0%	$2
Jagged-Democrat	Yes	26.79	7.5%	$2
JordanMooney	Yes	25.03	6.6%	$1.65
pentacap	Yes	25	0.0%	$0
longxia1hao	Yes	25	5.0%	$1.25
Beneficial-Spreadsheet	Yes	25	8.0%	$2
onabreak	No	24.47	91.5%	$22.4
Crimson Maven 99FF	Yes	23.16	1.3%	$0.3
metameta	No	23.16	95.0%	$22
namiooo	Yes	23	1.1%	$0.25
Crimson Oracle 5B87	Yes	22.73	1.1%	$0.25
Haaaas	Yes	22.22	9.0%	$2
emapol5	Yes	22	5.0%	$1.1
what-would-hayek-2	No	20	99.8%	$19.96
tiyujignshen	No	20	95.0%	$19
Pengub	Yes	20	7.0%	$1.4
hard	Yes	20	0.2%	$0.04
TurtleFlair	Yes	20	7.7%	$1.54
LBZbot2	Yes	20	2.7%	$0.55
manochartino	Yes	19.89	0.1%	$0.02
dzknowknow	Yes	18.18	11.0%	$2
COWberys	No	16.67	96.0%	$16
cdhack521	No	15.02	99.9%	$15
fwed33	No	15	97.3%	$14.6
Genuine-Vintage	Yes	14.99	0.1%	$0.01
Long-Brilliant	Yes	14.13	2.0%	$0.28
pd.unique	Yes	14.09	7.7%	$1.08
Terry4620	No	13.42	99.9%	$13.4	Oct 20, 6:04 PM UTC
OpenCrabAI	Yes	12.67	2.4%	$0.3
Tart-Blackfish	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
louistesting	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
Polite-Adult	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
MaskedAnalyst	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
Sam-urai	Yes	12	9.0%	$1.08
richmond1	Yes	12	7.9%	$0.95
gamblingbling	Yes	11	3.3%	$0.36
Agent01	No	10.53	95.0%	$10
kevinhuan	No	10.01	99.9%	$10
babyalgo	Yes	10	4.2%	$0.42
Fabvz69	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Triangular-Partnership	Yes	10	11.0%	$1.1
Fitting-Tutu	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
1uKing	Yes	10	11.0%	$1.1
Unruly-Real	Yes	10	2.3%	$0.23
oblonskij	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Matthew139	No	9.81	99.9%	$9.8	Oct 12, 4:27 PM UTC
Ivory Pioneer 1514	No	9.11	98.9%	$9
zero09	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
PM1200	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
xcai	Yes	8.93	1.8%	$0.16	Oct 1, 3:49 PM UTC
asfdt29	Yes	8.24	2.0%	$0.16
AmonMultipleTroops	No	6.28	95.5%	$6
limit2	No	6.23	87.0%	$5.42
tdrhrhhd	Yes	6.09	2.0%	$0.12
hjjkj	No	6.07	98.6%	$5.99
Sleepy-Cactus	Yes	6	0.1%	$0.01
38791873984189	No	5.69	98.7%	$5.62
HopeFields683	No	5.51	99.8%	$5.5
S888	Yes	5.38	3.3%	$0.18
shine	Yes	5.27	7.1%	$0.37
rgsh81	No	5.26	95.0%	$5
KeithBates607	No	5.22	99.7%	$5.2
DestroyLonley	No	5.21	96.0%	$5
Jamica	No	5.21	96.0%	$5
Elvill	No	5.15	97.0%	$5
Cobalt Harbor AFB2	No	5.07	98.8%	$5
654122	No	5.06	98.9%	$5
yaoyaolingee	No	5	95.0%	$4.75
ebashim.	Yes	5	1.7%	$0.09
egrsafvafvaer	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
denso	Yes	5	4.2%	$0.21
ElectionBetter1234	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
Misty Voyager D9F7	Yes	5	1.8%	$0.09
Ivory Voyager EA92	Yes	5	1.8%	$0.09
Royal Scout 7ACF	Yes	5	6.0%	$0.3
Hornyland	No	4.21	95.0%	$4
untaken	Yes	4.03	0.0%	$0
RubenPearson3367	No	4	90.0%	$3.6
JohnGomez3195	Yes	4	11.0%	$0.44
Logan718	No	3.9	99.9%	$3.9	Sep 25, 5:25 AM UTC
gordonr	No	3.55	97.0%	$3.44
Alyssa2174	No	3.5	99.9%	$3.5	Oct 18, 8:09 PM UTC
literroom	No	3.45	87.0%	$3
EDCvfr41qaz	No	3.37	99.2%	$3.34
Bobby6877	No	3.1	99.9%	$3.1	Sep 26, 10:49 AM UTC
Eleanor7661	No	3.1	99.9%	$3.1	Sep 23, 3:04 AM UTC
xiaowudaozz	No	3.04	98.8%	$3
bitcointothemoon	No	3	99.9%	$3	Oct 13, 7:13 AM UTC
pqgary	No	2.88	95.0%	$2.73
lissartter	No	2.76	93.0%	$2.57
juan37	No	2.61	90.0%	$2.35
johnathan27	No	2.59	90.0%	$2.33
noreenp	No	2.54	98.4%	$2.5
cameronjade	No	2.39	90.0%	$2.15
tuya44	No	2.15	93.0%	$2
tallboy	No	2.11	95.0%	$2
epps	No	2.06	85.0%	$1.75
clausemaster	Yes	2.04	3.0%	$0.06
norealtime	Yes	2.03	0.1%	$0
asfdt13	No	2	99.7%	$1.99
MiladyPrediction	Yes	2	2.1%	$0.04
purpledream	Yes	2	7.7%	$0.15
jjhnu1	No	1.74	95.0%	$1.65
animal.bean	Yes	1.68	4.2%	$0.07
Cobalt Atlas A4C2	Yes	1.68	7.6%	$0.13
Defiant-Vision	Yes	1.61	0.9%	$0.01
15rob	No	1.6	94.9%	$1.52
FlashTradeOracleTester	No	1.58	94.1%	$1.49
MentallyonJupiter	No	1.38	90.0%	$1.24
ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee	Yes	1.34	0.3%	$0
nbautista	No	1.3	90.0%	$1.17
neutralwave23	Yes	1.29	3.8%	$0.05
martinrebecca	No	1.29	90.0%	$1.16
roseayala	No	1.28	90.0%	$1.15
melissaabbott	No	1.27	90.0%	$1.14
gentryabigail	No	1.26	90.0%	$1.13
brandonbailey	No	1.26	90.0%	$1.13
williambailey	No	1.26	90.0%	$1.13
redam	No	1.21	94.0%	$1.14
rebeccaochoa	No	1.19	90.0%	$1.07
staciesalinas	No	1.18	90.0%	$1.06
rodriguezregina	No	1.16	90.0%	$1.04
carmenavery	No	1.16	90.0%	$1.04
dianabryan	No	1.14	90.0%	$1.03
emilybrady	No	1.13	90.0%	$1.02
steve93	No	1.12	90.0%	$1.01
natashabrown	No	1.12	90.0%	$1.01
SupersonicStrawberry	No	1.1	91.0%	$1
kod25	No	1.05	95.0%	$1
michael0099	No	1.04	96.0%	$1
Bowed-Insulation	No	1.02	98.1%	$1
8opo	No	1.02	98.0%	$1
BuyTheDip007	Yes	1.02	7.7%	$0.08
JulieParker7243	No	1	85.0%	$0.85
Meek-Board	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xyk05	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
SeanDavis5256	Yes	1	15.0%	$0.15
xyk122	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
AccX1	Yes	0.98	11.0%	$0.11
BESTASKV3	Yes	0.96	2.0%	$0.02
rocky42022	Yes	0.8	2.1%	$0.02
Royal Sphinx 8012	Yes	0.76	3.3%	$0.03
Bold Raven 7DB1	Yes	0.74	1.9%	$0.01
Lunar Tide 00C3	Yes	0.72	0.0%	$0
bulbnbob	No	0.67	94.0%	$0.63
LoLBestBettoor	Yes	0.54	1.7%	$0.01
White-Donkey	No	0.51	97.4%	$0.5
gucci-wallet	No	0.5	86.0%	$0.43
ghorrock	No	0.49	99.8%	$0.49
t0x010	Yes	0.46	1.4%	$0.01
Limping-Baggie-Technique	No	0.41	99.8%	$0.41
Neon Horizon 5ABD	Yes	0.22	7.0%	$0.02
54sfds	Yes	0.21	0.3%	$0
Gigantic-Reinscription	No	0.2	99.7%	$0.2
R23poyrffsddfdsfd43554	Yes	0.18	2.3%	$0
hklcrypt	No	0.17	99.9%	$0.17
Loose-Spirituality	No	0.15	88.2%	$0.14
Bright Meteor EA61	Yes	0.14	2.0%	$0
mustbethewater	No	0.12	99.8%	$0
Unfeared	No	0.12	99.6%	$0.12
EdwardLewis	Yes	0.11	7.3%	$0.01

392 of 392 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$1.01M
Mangol	$2.42K
Dear-Grip	$999.5

Topic room

Read this market in context

Fed and FOMC oddsWhat will the Fed do at its next meeting?

What to watch in Fed and FOMC

Inflation and jobs releases between meetings
Speeches and testimony by the chair and voting members
The statement, projections and press conference at each meeting

Upcoming in this topic

28 Oct 2026FOMC decision (meeting 27–28 October)
9 Dec 2026FOMC decision and projections (meeting 8–9 December)

Research behind the numbers

Analytics