Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.91K | $0.347 | $1.77K | +$1.11K |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.91K |
| $0.208 |
| $106.68 |
| -$290.56 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.626 | $92.5 | +$29.9 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 135 | $0.372 | $65.48 | +$15.18 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 115 | $0.203 | $35.08 | +$11.78 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 115 | $0.333 | $28.75 | -$9.6 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 135 | $0.438 | $27 | -$32.18 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.91K | $0.188 | $23.81 | -$334.23 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.199 | $22.59 | +$16.62 |
| Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 115 | $0.138 | $21.85 | +$6 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 115 | $0.213 | $18.4 | -$6.16 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? | Yes | 25 | $0.186 | $18.35 | +$13.7 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 25 | $0.316 | $11.75 | +$3.85 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.590 | $9.63 | +$3.73 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 25 | $0.302 | $9.5 | +$1.95 |
| Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 135 | $0.015 | $9.38 | +$7.38 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 40 | $0.330 | $9.2 | -$4 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.91K | $0.080 | $6.67 | -$145.43 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 40 | $0.130 | $6 | +$0.8 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 40 | $0.210 | $5.6 | -$2.8 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 40 | $0.090 | $5.14 | +$1.54 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 40 | $0.110 | $5.06 | +$0.66 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 40 | $0.016 | $4.6 | +$3.96 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers? | Yes | 25 | $0.169 | $4.24 | +$0 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 135 | $0.056 | $4.05 | -$3.57 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.737 |
| $3.69 |
| Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in March?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.102 | $0.51 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.005 | $0.01 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.060 | $0.06 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.008 | $0.48 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.982 | $39.28 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.008 | $0.32 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.982 | $39.28 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.008 | $0.4 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.004 | $0.06 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.003 | $0.15 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.006 | $0.06 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.011 | $0.27 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.018 | $0.18 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.160 | $0.32 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.660 | $1.32 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.014 | $0.01 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.130 | $0.13 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.940 | $1.97 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?Yes | sell | 3.3 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.140 | $1.26 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.130 | $2.21 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.330 | $1.98 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?Yes | sell | 3.3 | $0.580 | $1.91 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.240 | $1.34 | Mar 16, 2026 |