Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.013 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 156.25 | $0.223 | $34.84 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 166.67 |
| $0.006 |
| $1 |
| May 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9.5m and 11m?No | buy | 22.92 | $0.044 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.830 | $1.21 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | buy | 13.09 | $0.076 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump attend his son's wedding?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 92.4 | $0.048 | $4.44 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 267.85 | $0.020 | $5.37 | May 22, 2026 |
 Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)TheMongolz | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump Leave China on May 14?Yes | buy | 89.18 | $0.018 | $1.64 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump Leave China on May 17?Yes | buy | 121.54 | $0.016 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump Leave China on May 16?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.028 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.043 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?No | buy | 135.57 | $0.015 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Scott Bessent attend Trump’s Xi summit?No | buy | 34.24 | $0.058 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes | buy | 69.25 | $0.029 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?No | buy | 83.71 | $0.024 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?No | buy | 82.78 | $0.024 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes | buy | 72.98 | $0.027 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump Leave China on May 15?No | buy | 78.57 | $0.064 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.040 | $3 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 203 | $0.010 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 60.61 | $0.033 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 214.43 | $0.041 | $8.79 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?No | buy | 41.18 | $0.018 | $0.76 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.4 | $0.054 | $5 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.43 | $0.047 | $10 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |