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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 114.28 | $0.170 | $91.99 | +$72.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.032 | $1.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 190.95 |
| $0.236 |
| $87.55 |
| +$42.5 |
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.83K | $0.026 | $82.37 | +$33.74 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 154.72 | $0.080 | $55.16 | +$42.8 |
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 63.51 | $0.282 | $54.84 | +$36.92 |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.94K | $0.020 | $50.43 | +$11.64 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 51.52 | $0.711 | $45.08 | +$8.44 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 144.63 | $0.172 | $44.11 | +$19.29 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 49.02 | $0.405 | $42.16 | +$22.31 |
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.64K | $0.011 | $40.92 | +$12.81 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.15K | $0.009 | $39.36 | +$9.28 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.89K | $0.021 | $36.82 | -$3.26 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 40.4 | $0.484 | $36.36 | +$16.81 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 41.42 | $0.509 | $35.83 | +$14.75 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 49.4 | $0.430 | $35.32 | +$14.06 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 40.81 | $0.510 | $34.9 | +$14.08 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 63.48 | $0.300 | $33.64 | +$14.6 |
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 52.34 | $0.370 | $32.63 | +$13.25 |
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 260.85 | $0.110 | $32.61 | +$3.91 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 62.42 | $0.412 | $31.37 | +$5.65 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 34.75 | $0.412 | $29.71 | +$15.4 |
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 467.28 | $0.040 | $28.74 | +$9.99 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 218.82 | $0.117 | $28.56 | +$3.01 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 505.67 | $0.092 | $27.81 | -$18.74 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 800 | $0.029 | $27.6 | +$4.38 |
| sell |
| 31.81 |
| $0.218 |
| $6.93 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 38.87 | $0.120 | $4.66 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.15 | $0.120 | $3.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.15 | $0.120 | $3.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.15 | $0.120 | $3.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.15 | $0.120 | $3.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 38.87 | $0.120 | $4.66 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.15 | $0.120 | $3.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.15 | $0.120 | $3.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 38.87 | $0.120 | $4.66 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.61 | $0.036 | $0.45 | Jul 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.067 | $1.34 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.93 | $0.235 | $5.39 | Jul 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.096 | $0.52 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 11.04 | $0.490 | $5.41 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14.23 | $0.285 | $4.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.7 | $0.284 | $3.61 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.52 | $0.276 | $3.18 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.98 | $0.310 | $5.26 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.028 | $1.4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.21 | $0.470 | $4.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 28.05 | $0.236 | $6.62 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 21.04 | $0.236 | $4.97 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.59 | $0.106 | $0.59 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 24.11 | $0.028 | $0.68 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 56.15 | $0.130 | $7.3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 74.86 | $0.130 | $9.73 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 56.15 | $0.130 | $7.3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.184 | $1.84 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 22.86 | $0.273 | $6.24 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 103.84 | $0.037 | $3.84 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 320 | $0.035 | $11.2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.035 | $8.4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 88.81 | $0.007 | $0.62 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.021 | $6.72 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.027 | $6.48 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 320 | $0.028 | $8.96 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 184.92 | $0.028 | $5.18 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.019 | $4.56 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 200.16 | $0.019 | $3.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 47.12 | $0.042 | $1.98 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 83.26 | $0.051 | $4.25 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.012 | $2.88 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.041 | $0.78 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 239.98 | $0.022 | $5.28 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.015 | $3.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.013 | $3.12 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 320 | $0.013 | $4.16 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.007 | $1.68 | Jun 30, 2026 |