Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 12K | $0.500 | $9.09K | +$3.08K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 3.5K | $0.850 | $2.98K | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 12K |
| $0.500 |
| $2.91K |
| -$3.09K |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 17.54K | $0.154 | $2.72K | +$21.56 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.61K | $0.304 | $2.09K | +$994.84 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.94K | $0.845 | $1.83K | +$193.17 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 5K | $0.733 | $1.73K | -$1.94K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.9K | $0.573 | $1.7K | -$2.83K |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 1.65K | $0.890 | $1.57K | +$96.14 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.88K | $0.215 | $1.51K | -$1.91K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.65K | $0.806 | $1.43K | +$96.75 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.85K | $0.566 | $1.33K | -$852.14 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.18K | $0.382 | $1.27K | -$1.86K |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 19.33K | $0.051 | $1.23K | +$240.91 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.1K | $0.913 | $1.06K | +$54.45 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 6.33K | $0.417 | $829.29 | -$1.81K |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 3.9K | $0.190 | $721.02 | -$21.24 |
 US recession by end of 2027? | Yes | 2.22K | $0.317 | $698.73 | -$5.52 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 743.6 | $0.772 | $687.83 | +$114.03 |
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 1K | $0.320 | $545 | +$225 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 623.41 | $0.772 | $539.25 | +$57.96 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.7K | $0.132 | $498.75 | -$253.65 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.46K | $0.212 | $458.74 | +$149.23 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 500 | $0.840 | $432.5 | +$12.5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.240 | $405 | -$314.98 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7K | $0.045 | $395.5 | +$80.5 |
| buy |
| 2K |
| $0.170 |
| $340 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.41 | $0.760 | $55.79 | 3d ago |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.987 | $197.32 | 3d ago |
 Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 143.88 | $0.160 | $23.02 | 3d ago |
| Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.159 | $1.59 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 429.48 | $0.240 | $103.08 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 609.11 | $0.210 | $127.91 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.100 | $1K | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.29 | $0.140 | $15.58 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 999.36 | $0.930 | $929.4 | 7d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.180 | $234 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.550 | $1.1K | 12d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 363.66 | $0.982 | $356.95 | 17d ago |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.070 | $210 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.99 | $0.890 | $80.09 | 18d ago |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.21 | $0.940 | $12.42 | 18d ago |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes | sell | 76.4 | $0.054 | $4.09 | 18d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 219.98 | $0.260 | $57.19 | 18d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 4.06 | $0.800 | $3.25 | 18d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.360 | $14.4 | 18d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 685.14 | $0.350 | $239.8 | 18d ago |
 Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 500 | $0.910 | $455.02 | 19d ago |
| Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | sell | 312.88 | $0.910 | $284.72 | 19d ago |
| Printr FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 50 | $0.911 | $45.55 | 19d ago |
| Printr FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 50 | $0.911 | $45.55 | 19d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | 19d ago |
| Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 14.05 | $0.911 | $12.8 | 19d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.350 | $70 | 19d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 49.6 | $0.340 | $16.86 | 19d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 187.09 | $0.340 | $63.61 | 19d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 76.07 | $0.320 | $24.34 | 19d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 8.73 | $0.300 | $2.62 | 19d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 19d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | 19d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 466 | $0.270 | $125.82 | 19d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 292.69 | $0.260 | $76.1 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.889 | $8.89 | 21d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.320 | $96 | 22d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 162.96 | $0.730 | $118.96 | 22d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 243.92 | $0.988 | $240.99 | 22d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 97.63 | $0.989 | $96.56 | 22d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 14.9 | $0.990 | $14.75 | 22d ago |
 Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Yes | sell | 329.99 | $0.045 | $14.77 | 22d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.51K | $0.039 | $58.4 | 22d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 938.16 | $0.016 | $15.01 | 22d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 482.05 | $0.017 | $8.19 | 22d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 164.88 | $0.018 | $2.97 | 22d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 14.9 | $0.990 | $14.75 | 22d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 136.8 | $0.991 | $135.57 | 22d ago |