Analytics
clausemaster has made $15.3 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-08 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.39K | $0.197 | $242.55 | -$30.21 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$0.82 | $0.82 | 12 | 2 | 100.0% | $0 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-08 21:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 01:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 01:01 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-08 21:07 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $135.2 and losing ones cost $0.7 across the latest 50 settled positions. 98% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $41 on “Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.7 on “Will Edward Dunn be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?” (Yes).
It has traded 1,089 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($0.82). Its open positions are worth $271.34 across 90 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 37.37 |
| $0.036 |
| $2.24 |
| +$0.88 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 40.01 | $0.042 | $2.08 | +$0.38 |
 Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 19.98 | $0.033 | $1.47 | +$0.81 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 37.03 | $0.027 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 23.29 | $0.032 | $1.36 | +$0.61 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 68.85 | $0.030 | $1.34 | -$0.76 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 29.27 | $0.045 | $1.27 | -$0.04 |
 Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 86.94 | $0.023 | $1.17 | -$0.83 |
| Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.040 | $1.09 | -$0.28 |
 Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 35.37 | $0.039 | $0.95 | -$0.42 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 41.63 | $0.024 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.05 | $0.023 | $0.85 | +$0.14 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 32.36 | $0.043 | $0.84 | -$0.55 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.88 | $0.023 | $0.82 | +$0.25 |
 Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Yes | 48.95 | $0.029 | $0.78 | -$0.62 |
 Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | Yes | 41.66 | $0.024 | $0.77 | -$0.23 |
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 20.28 | $0.032 | $0.62 | -$0.03 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? | Yes | 16.14 | $0.046 | $0.47 | -$0.27 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 35.83 | $0.038 | $0.45 | -$0.91 |
 Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 16.45 | $0.040 | $0.44 | -$0.21 |
 Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.061 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
| Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | Yes | 5.21 | $0.047 | $0.37 | +$0.12 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 15.62 | $0.064 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
