Latest trade
Oct 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:36 AM UTC.
Analytics
clausemaster has made $15.3 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:36 AM UTC.
$0.82 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 43 markets; 6.0% were buys. They run from Apr 15, 2026 UTC to Oct 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.39K | $0.197 | $311.84 | +$39.09 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | 7d ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 08:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 11:36 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 11:36 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-08 21:07 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $135.2 and losing ones cost $0.7 across the latest 50 settled positions. 98% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $41 on “Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.7 on “Will Edward Dunn be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?” (Yes).
It first traded on 12 Feb 2026 and most recently on 17 Oct 2026. It has traded 1,089 markets. Its open positions are worth $340.22 across 90 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 37.37 |
| $0.036 |
| $2.2 |
| +$0.84 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 40.01 | $0.042 | $2.1 | +$0.4 |
 Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 19.98 | $0.033 | $1.47 | +$0.81 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 37.03 | $0.027 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 23.29 | $0.032 | $1.39 | +$0.64 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 68.85 | $0.030 | $1.34 | -$0.76 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 29.27 | $0.045 | $1.26 | -$0.06 |
 Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 86.94 | $0.023 | $1.17 | -$0.83 |
| Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.040 | $1.12 | -$0.24 |
 Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 35.37 | $0.039 | $0.95 | -$0.42 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 32.36 | $0.043 | $0.83 | -$0.57 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 41.63 | $0.024 | $0.81 | -$0.19 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.88 | $0.023 | $0.8 | +$0.22 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.05 | $0.023 | $0.79 | +$0.08 |
 Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Yes | 48.95 | $0.029 | $0.73 | -$0.67 |
 Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | Yes | 41.66 | $0.024 | $0.73 | -$0.27 |
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 20.28 | $0.032 | $0.62 | -$0.03 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? | Yes | 16.14 | $0.046 | $0.47 | -$0.27 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 35.83 | $0.038 | $0.45 | -$0.91 |
 Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 16.45 | $0.040 | $0.44 | -$0.21 |
 Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.061 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 15.62 | $0.064 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
| Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | Yes | 5.21 | $0.047 | $0.36 | +$0.12 |
| sell |
| 150 |
| $0.260 |
| $39 |
| 9d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | 9d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.160 | $100 | 10d ago |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?Yes | sell | 25.6 | $0.040 | $1.02 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes | sell | 10.23 | $0.050 | $0.51 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 17.54 | $0.070 | $1.23 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 50.37 | $0.040 | $2.01 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.080 | $1.25 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.06 | $0.080 | $1.04 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes | sell | 0.41 | $0.040 | $0.02 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.040 | $1.16 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?Yes | sell | 18.87 | $0.040 | $0.75 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 7.72 | $0.060 | $0.46 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 12.75 | $0.030 | $0.38 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.96 | $0.060 | $0.36 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 47.43 | $0.030 | $1.42 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes | sell | 28.78 | $0.030 | $0.86 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 29.55 | $0.030 | $0.89 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | sell | 10.11 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.94 | $0.040 | $0.52 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 7.19 | $0.050 | $0.36 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.080 | $1.21 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.040 | $1.21 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 8.83 | $0.040 | $0.35 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.86 | $0.040 | $0.27 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.040 | $1.29 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 30.69 | $0.030 | $0.92 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 6.43 | $0.090 | $0.58 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?Yes | sell | 11.7 | $0.060 | $0.7 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.24 | $0.050 | $0.51 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 14.97 | $0.060 | $0.9 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be $300B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 12.72 | $0.030 | $0.38 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.060 | $0.73 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5.33 | $0.070 | $0.37 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.31 | $0.080 | $0.19 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
 Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 7.33 | $0.060 | $0.44 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.040 | $1.29 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.19 | $0.070 | $0.5 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.8%?Yes | sell | 24.55 | $0.040 | $0.98 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?Yes | sell | 13.45 | $0.060 | $0.81 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 16.7 | $0.050 | $0.84 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Yes | sell | 4.37 | $0.030 | $0.13 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 14.49 | $0.080 | $1.16 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.030 | $1.15 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 24.31 | $0.040 | $0.97 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.04 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.63 | $0.040 | $0.15 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.