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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 50 | $0.870 | $46.75 | +$3.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.020 | $0.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.200 |
| $26.25 |
| +$16.25 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50.01 | $0.500 | $22.25 | -$2.75 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 11 | $0.077 | $10.2 | +$9.36 |
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 10 | $0.030 | $9.68 | +$9.38 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 11 | $0.500 | $9.63 | +$4.12 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 11 | $0.515 | $9.16 | +$3.49 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 11 | $0.029 | $8.2 | +$7.87 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.036 | $6.58 | +$4.79 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 11 | $0.036 | $6.3 | +$5.9 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 11 | $0.031 | $5.78 | +$5.43 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 11 | $0.200 | $5.56 | +$3.36 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 10 | $0.111 | $5.45 | +$4.34 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 11 | $0.031 | $5.01 | +$4.66 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 6 | $0.167 | $4.56 | +$3.56 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 10 | $0.111 | $4.5 | +$3.39 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 11 | $0.477 | $3.91 | -$1.34 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 10.25 | $0.008 | $3.65 | +$3.57 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.471 | $3.25 | -$20.31 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 11 | $0.036 | $3.03 | +$2.63 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 10.25 | $0.008 | $3.02 | +$2.94 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 11 | $0.008 | $2.65 | +$2.56 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 11 | $0.029 | $2.38 | +$2.05 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.25 | $0.008 | $1.92 | +$1.84 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.25 | $0.008 | $1.66 | +$1.58 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.174 |
| $5.23 |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.300 | $9.01 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.050 | $0.15 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.120 | $0.36 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.001 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.330 | $0.99 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.010 | $0.03 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.007 | $0.02 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.010 | $0.3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.123 | $3.69 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.133 | $3.98 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.011 | $0.22 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.455 | $9.09 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.011 | $0.22 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.499 | $9.99 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.047 | $0.94 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.007 | $0.14 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.007 | $0.21 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.352 | $10.55 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.480 | $14.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.013 | $0.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.003 | $0.09 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 13.14 | $0.060 | $0.79 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on July 28?Yes | sell | 13.14 | $0.003 | $0.04 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 13.14 | $0.411 | $5.41 | Jul 28, 2026 |