Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $2.77 | +$1.77 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 7.65 | $0.392 | $3 | May 15, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 19.11 |
| $0.052 |
| $0.58 |
| -$0.42 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.93 | $0.067 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
 Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 125 | $0.008 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.19 | -$0.82 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.013 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 13.33 |
| $0.600 |
| $8 |
| May 15, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 19.11 | $0.052 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 80.44 | $0.012 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta BravesChicago Cubs | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes | buy | 9.71 | $0.103 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?Yes | buy | 42.58 | $0.023 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.848 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?Yes | buy | 35.14 | $0.028 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Heaven" during Chinese State Banquet?Yes | buy | 38.91 | $0.026 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Yes | buy | 27.2 | $0.037 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Yes | buy | 29.82 | $0.034 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 25.5 | $0.039 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.115 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?No | buy | 6.23 | $0.160 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will "Funny AF with Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will "Lord of the Flies" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 36.09 | $0.028 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 14.43 | $0.069 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 20.34 | $0.049 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will "Man on Fire" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 16.75 | $0.060 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Little Joe escape again?Yes | buy | 11.89 | $0.084 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp | sell | 58.39 | $0.990 | $57.81 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 58.35 | $0.990 | $57.77 | Apr 11, 2026 |