Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.04K | $0.756 | $1.03K | +$248.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | 27d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 610 |
| $0.641 |
| $581.64 |
| +$190.48 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 350 | $0.502 | $328.48 | +$152.79 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? | Yes | 370 | $0.646 | $301 | +$61.92 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 365 | $0.590 | $279.23 | +$64.01 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 321.37 | $0.550 | $271.56 | +$94.76 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.483 | $247.5 | +$102.55 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.755 | $194 | +$42.9 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 205 | $0.795 | $190.55 | +$27.6 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? | Yes | 215 | $0.540 | $185.98 | +$69.78 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 275 | $0.660 | $185.63 | +$4.23 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 190.6 | $0.359 | $185.55 | +$117.15 |
 Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | Yes | 215 | $0.352 | $174.8 | +$99.17 |
 Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 255 | $0.083 | $145.73 | +$124.49 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 255 | $0.423 | $133.88 | +$26.03 |
 Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 350 | $0.292 | $120.75 | +$18.45 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 255 | $0.450 | $116.03 | +$1.38 |
 Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? | Yes | 260 | $0.270 | $106.6 | +$36.44 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95 | $0.874 | $91.82 | +$8.82 |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 255 | $0.102 | $89.25 | +$63.27 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 275 | $0.184 | $83.88 | +$33.13 |
 Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? | Yes | 85 | $0.507 | $76.93 | +$33.83 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 365 | $0.310 | $74.83 | -$38.51 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | Yes | 120 | $0.362 | $72.6 | +$29.2 |
 Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 195 | $0.278 | $70.2 | +$16.05 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.003 |
| $0.02 |
| 27d ago |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.007 | $0.04 | 27d ago |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.044 | $0.22 | 27d ago |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | 27d ago |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.066 | $0.33 | 27d ago |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.078 | $0.39 | 27d ago |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 27d ago |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.035 | $0.18 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.137 | $0.69 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.482 | $2.41 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.035 | $0.18 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.097 | $0.49 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.482 | $2.41 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.482 | $2.41 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.098 | $0.49 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.035 | $0.18 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.035 | $0.18 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.071 | $0.36 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.035 | $0.18 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.482 | $2.41 | 27d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 27d ago |
| Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.036 | $0.18 | 27d ago |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 27d ago |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | 27d ago |
| Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.035 | $0.18 | 27d ago |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | 27d ago |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 27d ago |