Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 452.65 | $0.005 | $22.41 | +$20.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 399.99 |
| $0.015 |
| $10.4 |
| +$4.4 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.011 | $7.1 | +$4.9 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 385.35 | $0.013 | $5.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 200 | $0.050 | $4.4 | -$5.6 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 555.56 | $0.009 | $4.17 | -$0.83 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 62.13 | $0.011 | $4.07 | +$3.39 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 294.12 | $0.017 | $3.82 | -$1.18 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 280 | $0.018 | $3.36 | -$1.68 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 312.5 | $0.016 | $2.66 | -$2.34 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 251.1 | $0.060 | $2.64 | -$12.36 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 245.91 | $0.015 | $2.58 | -$1.11 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 295.2 | $0.017 | $2.36 | -$2.64 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 455 | $0.011 | $2.05 | -$2.96 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 533.33 | $0.013 | $1.87 | -$5.13 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 495 | $0.003 | $1.73 | +$0.25 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 461.67 | $0.002 | $1.62 | +$0.69 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 227.27 | $0.022 | $1.14 | -$3.86 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 263.16 | $0.019 | $0.92 | -$4.08 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 600 | $0.003 | $0.9 | -$0.9 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.003 | $0.75 | -$0.75 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.37K | $0.004 | $0.69 | -$4.31 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 419.35 | $0.024 | $0.63 | -$9.37 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.004 | $0.63 | -$4.38 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.004 | $0.63 | -$4.38 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.001 |
| $1 |
| 1d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 295.2 | $0.017 | $5 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?No | buy | 260.72 | $0.019 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.004 | $5 | 22d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 307.4 | $0.016 | $5 | 22d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 637.5 | $0.008 | $5 | 23d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 614.38 | $0.008 | $5 | 23d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.034 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 385.35 | $0.013 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 229.83 | $0.022 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.015 | $0.38 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 381.25 | $0.013 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.016 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?Yes | buy | 223.53 | $0.022 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 382.05 | $0.013 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.024 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?Yes | buy | 167.14 | $0.030 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes | buy | 662.97 | $0.008 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 359.36 | $0.014 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 334.09 | $0.015 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.25K | $0.002 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will two people dissent the June Fed decision?Yes | buy | 236.98 | $0.051 | $12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 259.26 | $0.027 | $7 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 251.1 | $0.060 | $15 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.019 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.26K | $0.002 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will three people dissent the June Fed decision?Yes | buy | 39.67 | $0.030 | $1.19 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 236.53 | $0.021 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 210.79 | $0.024 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.016 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 516.67 | $0.010 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |