Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 164.94K | $0.500 | $125.27K | +$42.8K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.945 | $0.99 | May 10, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 164.94K |
| $0.500 |
| $39.67K |
| -$42.8K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 888.91 | $0.031 | $407.57 | +$379.79 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.69K | $0.031 | $35.21 | -$111.49 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 492.49 | $0.000 | $12.07 | +$12.07 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.69K | $0.031 | $11.74 | -$134.96 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 786.83 | $0.008 | $8.66 | +$2.51 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.69K | $0.031 | $7.04 | -$139.66 |
 Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.69K | $0.031 | $7.04 | -$139.66 |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.69K | $0.031 | $7.04 | -$139.66 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 334.81 | $0.000 | $6.19 | +$6.19 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 916.25 | $0.036 | $5.5 | -$27.22 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 283 | $0.031 | $4.95 | -$3.89 |
 Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 380.21 | $0.036 | $4.56 | -$9.02 |
 Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 75.01 | $0.011 | $3.38 | +$2.53 |
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 634.76 | $0.008 | $3.17 | -$1.78 |
 Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.85K | $0.008 | $2.77 | -$11.66 |
 Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.85K | $0.008 | $2.77 | -$11.66 |
 Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.85K | $0.008 | $2.77 | -$11.66 |
 Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.85K | $0.008 | $2.77 | -$11.66 |
 Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.85K | $0.008 | $2.77 | -$11.66 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 439.51 | $0.008 | $2.42 | -$1.02 |
 Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.69K | $0.031 | $2.35 | -$144.35 |
 Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.69K | $0.031 | $2.35 | -$144.35 |
 Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.69K | $0.031 | $2.35 | -$144.35 |
| buy |
| 1.06 |
| $0.946 |
| $1 |
| May 10, 2026 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.446 | $42.37 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No | sell | 8.3 | $0.993 | $8.24 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 60 | $0.990 | $59.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 28?No | buy | 35.01 | $0.997 | $34.9 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?No | buy | 35 | $0.520 | $18.2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 28?No | buy | 35 | $0.990 | $34.65 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 28?No | buy | 35.01 | $0.970 | $33.95 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 28?No | buy | 35 | $0.910 | $31.85 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?No | buy | 35 | $0.700 | $24.5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on March 28?No | buy | 35 | $0.998 | $34.93 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 28?No | buy | 35 | $0.998 | $34.93 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?No | buy | 21.76 | $0.250 | $5.44 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.997 | $49.85 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.997 | $49.85 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?Yes | sell | 11.61 | $0.954 | $11.08 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 26.36 | $0.993 | $26.18 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 31.49 | $0.995 | $31.33 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 40 | $0.981 | $39.24 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 20 | $0.992 | $19.84 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 40.04 | $0.993 | $39.76 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 40 | $0.994 | $39.76 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 120.12 | $0.993 | $119.29 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Georgia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 80.08 | $0.994 | $79.6 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 13.68 | $0.995 | $13.61 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 40.04 | $0.996 | $39.88 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 8.55 | $0.996 | $8.52 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 80.12 | $0.996 | $79.8 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 40.04 | $0.996 | $39.88 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.985 | $29.55 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.997 | $29.91 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.974 | $29.22 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.998 | $29.94 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.998 | $29.94 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.997 | $29.91 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.998 | $29.94 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $380-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?No | buy | 17.42 | $0.999 | $17.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?No | buy | 17.42 | $0.999 | $17.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $340-$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?No | buy | 17.42 | $0.999 | $17.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $410-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?No | buy | 17.42 | $0.999 | $17.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?No | buy | 17.42 | $0.999 | $17.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?No | buy | 17.42 | $0.999 | $17.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?No | buy | 17.42 | $0.980 | $17.07 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?No | buy | 17.41 | $0.998 | $17.38 | Mar 27, 2026 |