Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.180 | $1.75 | -$8.25 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?Yes | buy | 174.66 | $0.029 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 216.07 |
| $0.079 |
| $0.32 |
| -$16.68 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 528.95 | $0.038 | $0.26 | -$19.74 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 78.95 | $0.038 | $0.04 | -$2.96 |
| buy |
| 166.67 |
| $0.030 |
| $5 |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.600 | $50 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.44 | $0.361 | $20 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.23 | $0.520 | $23 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Bank of England rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.56 | $0.520 | $27.33 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.038 | $3 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?Yes | buy | 14.22 | $0.352 | $5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?Yes | buy | 19.89 | $0.251 | $5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Trump announce run for 3rd term?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.071 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 122.78 | $0.041 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 109.3 | $0.046 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?Yes | buy | 766.55 | $0.007 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bank of England rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 105.8 | $0.095 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.080 | $15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 528.95 | $0.038 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 54.76 | $0.365 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?ETH | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.570 | $15 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 154.39 | $0.570 | $88 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.55 | $0.110 | $5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.345 | $5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 21.93 | $0.456 | $10 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Barron" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 30.92 | $0.386 | $11.93 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Moon" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.165 | $10 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "ETF" or "Exchange Traded Fund" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.280 | $8 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Ulbricht" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 22.61 | $0.442 | $10 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Pump" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.100 | $12 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Moon" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 72.79 | $0.165 | $12 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Vitalik Buterin attend the March 7 Crypto Summit?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 21.57 | $0.510 | $11 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.7 | $0.570 | $11.8 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.340 | $15 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Arsenal wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 38.17 | $0.131 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |