Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 87.6 | $0.172 | $81.43 | +$66.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 121.19 |
| $0.511 |
| $63.63 |
| +$1.63 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 64.28 | $0.778 | $56.24 | +$6.24 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 51.75 | $0.599 | $40.62 | +$9.62 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 556.29 | $0.283 | $32.26 | -$125.04 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 62.5 | $0.480 | $31.56 | +$1.56 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 167.35 | $0.299 | $24.18 | -$25.82 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 47.22 | $0.423 | $23.73 | +$3.73 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 22.47 | $0.890 | $22.44 | +$2.44 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 21.74 | $0.920 | $21.36 | +$1.36 |
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 21.13 | $0.710 | $20.18 | +$5.18 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 17.89 | $0.894 | $17.2 | +$1.2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 18.21 | $0.604 | $17.03 | +$6.03 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.610 | $16.05 | +$6.05 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 16.13 | $0.620 | $14.27 | +$4.27 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 26.28 | $0.457 | $14.06 | +$2.06 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | Yes | 14.49 | $0.690 | $13.48 | +$3.48 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 12.35 | $0.810 | $12.3 | +$2.3 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 10.85 | $0.922 | $10.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.630 | $9.44 | -$0.56 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 114.29 | $0.175 | $8.23 | -$11.77 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? | No | 6.42 | $0.934 | $6.19 | +$0.19 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 6.41 | $0.780 | $6.04 | +$1.04 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
| buy |
| 15.87 |
| $0.630 |
| $10 |
| 3d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?No | sell | 6.38 | $0.850 | $5.42 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.51 | $0.840 | $7.15 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 11.49 | $0.880 | $10.11 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 11.49 | $0.999 | $11.48 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 29.01 | $0.990 | $28.72 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 89.42 | $0.991 | $88.62 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 209.3 | $0.860 | $180 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 262.77 | $0.773 | $203.12 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.411 | $431.6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?No | buy | 237.84 | $0.665 | $158.26 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.977 | $21.23 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 22.08 | $0.308 | $6.8 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 402.11 | $0.190 | $76.4 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 566.04 | $0.530 | $300 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 981.78 | $0.102 | $100 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes | buy | 10.73 | $0.466 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?No | buy | 60.42 | $0.166 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 10.85 | $0.922 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.78 | $0.677 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 17.09 | $0.117 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 19.75 | $0.810 | $16 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Netflix reach $105 in April?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.680 | $16 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 64.94 | $0.977 | $63.45 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $180?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $170?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $175?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |