Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.8K | $0.514 | $821.14 | -$106.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 938.73 | $0.460 | $431.82 | 4h ago |
 |
| No |
| 501.99 |
| $0.853 |
| $429.2 |
| +$1.1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 223.56 | $0.670 | $182.2 | +$32.31 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 211 | $0.575 | $165.64 | +$44.24 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 191 | $0.641 | $127.02 | +$4.64 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 88 | $0.654 | $77.88 | +$20.28 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | Yes | 91 | $0.549 | $75.08 | +$25.12 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 96 | $0.570 | $69.6 | +$14.85 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 74 | $0.685 | $66.97 | +$16.29 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September? | Yes | 125.99 | $0.641 | $66.14 | -$14.65 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 70.87 | $0.755 | $60.03 | +$6.54 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 67 | $0.759 | $59.46 | +$8.61 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 66 | $0.836 | $57.75 | +$2.55 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 68 | $0.791 | $56.78 | +$2.99 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 68 | $0.801 | $54.71 | +$0.26 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 58 | $0.867 | $54.23 | +$3.95 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 58 | $0.870 | $53.65 | +$3.19 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 91.23 | $0.570 | $53.37 | +$1.37 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 56 | $0.889 | $52.05 | +$2.27 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | No | 61.44 | $0.616 | $49.15 | +$11.33 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 65.79 | $0.760 | $49.01 | -$0.99 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2K | $0.012 | $49 | +$25 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | No | 65.23 | $0.626 | $46.93 | +$6.08 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 49.99 | $0.814 | $43.74 | +$3.05 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.8K | $0.009 | $43.5 | -$11.69 |
| sell |
| 525 |
| $0.850 |
| $446.25 |
| 4h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.66 | $0.470 | $4.07 | 4h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | sell | 36.03 | $0.070 | $2.52 | 5h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 5h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 183 | $0.870 | $159.21 | 17h ago |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.890 | $6.23 | 18h ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.930 | $11.16 | 18h ago |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No | sell | 23 | $0.900 | $20.7 | 18h ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?No | sell | 41.63 | $0.910 | $37.88 | 18h ago |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.910 | $15.47 | 18h ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.920 | $11.04 | 18h ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 6.45 | $0.920 | $5.93 | 18h ago |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No | sell | 15 | $0.910 | $13.65 | 18h ago |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.930 | $13.95 | 18h ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | 18h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 85.99 | $0.870 | $74.81 | 18h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.975 | $45.81 | 18h ago |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?No | sell | 20 | $0.903 | $18.06 | 18h ago |
 Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.930 | $11.16 | 18h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 20h ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 20h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | 20h ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 83 | $0.790 | $65.57 | 21h ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | 21h ago |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.940 | $5.64 | 21h ago |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 17 | $0.950 | $16.15 | 21h ago |
 Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.955 | $15.28 | 21h ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.950 | $10.45 | 21h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 86.26 | $0.460 | $39.68 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.870 | $46.11 | 1d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.955 | $9.54 | 1d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.940 | $6.58 | 1d ago |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?No | sell | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | 1d ago |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.947 | $20.83 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 120 | $0.760 | $91.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.961 | $30.75 | 1d ago |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?No | sell | 44 | $0.975 | $42.9 | 1d ago |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.085 | $6.76 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.870 | $10.44 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.680 | $39.44 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.870 | $60.9 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 103 | $0.981 | $101.04 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.860 | $14.62 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | buy | 47.52 | $0.720 | $34.21 | 2d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 35.93 | $0.968 | $34.78 | 2d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | buy | 4.49 | $0.720 | $3.23 | 2d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.260 | $3.38 | 2d ago |